tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11960141535400462182024-03-12T16:39:24.891-07:00NBeh?Basketball analysis focusing on Canada's lone NBA teamDDignamhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06508911795176535945noreply@blogger.comBlogger115125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1196014153540046218.post-72260688708435571332012-01-17T12:25:00.000-08:002012-01-17T14:03:22.087-08:00Season at a Glance (2/10)Game #13 has come and gone -- time for the second team review of the season.<br />
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<a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/2012/01/season-at-glance-110.html">Last time</a> the Raps were on pace to post a 28-38 record. Despite the decent start, I said that I expected to see that number shrink towards <a href="http://wagesofwins.com/2011/12/26/toronto-will-be-terrible/">19-20 wins</a>. Where are they <a href="http://www.thenbageek.com/teams/tor">right now</a>?<br />
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Well, as I expected, the team is now on pace to win far fewer games. <a href="http://www.thenbageek.com/teams/tor">They currently on pace to post a 16-50 record</a> this season. Why the sudden drop-off? Who's to blame for the poor performances of the past six games?<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgAEwKXuJQli3fBglWdevzOA0YryUs8U0LV59zfCQQqsrUdQcnwFhESj01ihUKwk_jYPdDgD57mHB0GzfFcyPz6Gf-BZ94XnPR6W_nPy4dZarO6gTyR-tvrnRdfEtylR0eIiyp-uGHrejz3/s1600/2011-12_tor_20%2525.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="228" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgAEwKXuJQli3fBglWdevzOA0YryUs8U0LV59zfCQQqsrUdQcnwFhESj01ihUKwk_jYPdDgD57mHB0GzfFcyPz6Gf-BZ94XnPR6W_nPy4dZarO6gTyR-tvrnRdfEtylR0eIiyp-uGHrejz3/s400/2011-12_tor_20%2525.png" width="400" /></a></div>
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Once again, the team is still being led by Jose Calderon, Amir Johnson, and Ed Davis. After a decent start, Bargnani has begun to return to his usual level, driven by his reduced TS%. Gary Forbes was much improved in limited playing time, and Anthony Carter almost made it back to an average level (WP48 of 0.100). DeMar DeRozan also had a tough six games shooting the ball, as did Rasual Butler and Jamaal Magloire. Barbosa just barely missed escaping the negative range, but this was an improvement and boosted his numbers for the season.</div>
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But the key player over the past six games was Amir Johnson. While his TS% has fallen, it is still good, and he is taking more shots. At his efficiency level, every additional shot he takes helps the team, so this is a good thing. His rebounding has also jumped, from 11.6 (per 48mins) to 13.8. His turnovers have fallen by 0.9. Blocks and steals are down and fouls are up, mostly likely due to the fact that he's had to cover taller and larger players during Bargnani's absence.</div>
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Despite the coaching change, I still have to point out the following: the Raptors' coach does not know how to allocate playing time properly. Last year that was Jay Triano's fault, but this time the offender is Dwane Casey. Ed Davis should be getting more playing time, and Magloire should be riding the pine. Barbosa and Butler's minutes should be way down, and Anthony Carter and Gary Forbes should be much higher. Despite his age, Carter is likely the team's second best guard. Forbes played well in Denver last year and should be given a chance to prove that he is better than the other options at SG/SF.</div>
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- Devin.</div>DDignamhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06508911795176535945noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1196014153540046218.post-28614911854216053702012-01-07T18:19:00.000-08:002012-01-07T18:19:40.918-08:00Season at a Glance (1/10)It's been a number of months since my last post here, as most of my new stuff is being published on the <a href="http://wagesofwins.com/">Wages of Wins Journal</a>. But there are some Raptor-related things I want to write about that aren't really suitable for that audience. After all, how many people care to read a regular review of the Raptors' season progress?<br />
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Speaking of regular, my plan is to post ten summaries this season, so each one will represent approximately 10% of the shortened season (which amounts to 6-7 games per summary).<br />
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So, how are the numbers after the team's first seven games?<br />
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Thanks to Patrick Minton's site, <a href="http://www.thenbageek.com/">The NBA Geek</a>, we now have an easy way of compiling player and team Wins Produced stats. It makes reviewing team progress really quite simple. For example, take a look at the site's <a href="http://www.thenbageek.com/teams/tor">Raptor page</a>, and you'll come up with the following:<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEifVW33yB_47AqJhr8Tnhyphenhyphenj2o7T3SY7PpJCcgvwYCj6G68f46vW5aHqqgueLjYgx9SELsYBk6CrXSntM8A-8ziVCyYrO-Ia7_KzDLNcCtt1aontiw9qBoFnvzcUItpZ67DiVkzfCjuZXy3y/s1600/2011-12_tor_10%2525.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="400" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEifVW33yB_47AqJhr8Tnhyphenhyphenj2o7T3SY7PpJCcgvwYCj6G68f46vW5aHqqgueLjYgx9SELsYBk6CrXSntM8A-8ziVCyYrO-Ia7_KzDLNcCtt1aontiw9qBoFnvzcUItpZ67DiVkzfCjuZXy3y/s400/2011-12_tor_10%2525.png" width="372" /></a></div>
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Patrick has almost everything you would want to look at all on one page! Right now there is a tiny problem with wins totals, but that should be fixed up shortly. Luckily, it's also quite simple to calculate, so here they are:<br />
<ul>
<li>Jose Calderon: 1.8 wins</li>
<li>Ed Davis: 0.6 wins</li>
<li>Amir Johnson: 0.5 wins</li>
<li>Andrea Bargnani: 0.5 wins</li>
<li>DeMar DeRozan: 0.2 wins</li>
<li>James Johnson: 0.1 wins</li>
<li>Rasual Butler: 0.1 wins</li>
<li>Anthony Carter: 0.0 wins</li>
<li>Solomon Alabi: 0 wins</li>
<li>Jerryd Bayless: -0.0 wins</li>
<li>Jamaal Magloire: -0.1 wins</li>
<li>Gary Forbes: -0.1 wins</li>
<li>Leandro Barbosa: -0.6 wins</li>
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<a href="http://wagesofwins.com/2011/12/26/toronto-will-be-terrible/">As I expected</a>, the team is being led by Jose Calderon, Ed Davis, and Amir Johnson. Calderon is actually the 5th most productive player in the league so far. And as a nice bonus, Bargnani has actually managed to hover around average for the first seven games! Bringing up the rear is Leandro Barbosa, who is currently the 7th <i>least </i>productive player in the league. The number one least productive player so far? Not one of the usual suspects -- it's actually Lamar Odom, which is a reminder: beware the perils of small sample sizes. Many of these numbers will change significantly over the remainder of the season. After all, 90% of the games have yet to be played.</div>
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Want to look at individual players? Patrick has you covered there, too; just click on a player's name and you will be taken to their individual page. For example, here's <a href="http://www.thenbageek.com/players/316-jose-calderon">Jose Calderon's page</a> so far:<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhtlyBeiu90RTrPuMiiC2ysXxkkQ0pxxQ3nYF-BC2VMwGbbXZxsUSymmQ2s7pucCI0g_BhGQUN3K8KcYpYwtp5YKFfIa2CygLsG0ZbIIfSLMQEFBHM-WqWLYrOTrrxy01xkHhUONreQLjUd/s1600/calderon10%2525.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhtlyBeiu90RTrPuMiiC2ysXxkkQ0pxxQ3nYF-BC2VMwGbbXZxsUSymmQ2s7pucCI0g_BhGQUN3K8KcYpYwtp5YKFfIa2CygLsG0ZbIIfSLMQEFBHM-WqWLYrOTrrxy01xkHhUONreQLjUd/s320/calderon10%2525.png" width="316" /></a></div>
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You can see all of Calderon's totals, plus a comparison against the average PG. Right now Calderon is playing 3.5 times better than an average PG. Why? He's above average in almost every statistical category. His shooting is looking far more Calderon-like than it has in the last couple of seasons; his rebounding is up; assists are well above average, as usual; his turnovers are at a ridiculously low level for a PG; his fouls are down too...the only areas where he is below average is blocking shots and getting steals.<br />
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There are only two other players I'd like to take a closer look at so far: Barbosa and Bargnani. <a href="http://www.thenbageek.com/players/313-leandro-barbosa">Why has Barbosa been so bad</a>, and <a href="http://www.thenbageek.com/players/314-andrea-bargnani">why has Bargnani been so average</a>?<br />
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Barbosa is still getting his points -- he's at 22.3 per 48 compared to an average SG's 20.4 -- but he's doing so rather inefficiently. An average SG shoots a TS% of 51.4, but Barbosa is only at 49.3 so far. At that percentage, Barbosa hurts the team every time he shoots the ball, and unfortunately he does so very often. He's also below average with respect to rebounds, assists, turnovers, blocks, steals, and fouls. Yes, Barbosa has been below average in every statistical category so far this season. While the small sample size may be a part of the problem, Barbosa's rebounding is in line with his historical numbers. As far as all the other categories go (including shooting), while I expect him to improve significantly over the course of the season, I'm almost certain that he will continue to remain below average. If he even makes it out of the red, that is.<br />
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Another guy still getting his points is Andrea Bargnani. And boy, is he ever! Right now he's at 30.7 per 48, which is much more than an average centre's 17.6 per 48. Sure, Bargnani takes a lot of shots to get his points -- 20.8 FGA/48 compared to an average centre's 14.0 FGA/48 -- but he's shooting incredibly efficiently right now. Bargnani's TS% is at 63.1; the average centre shoots a TS% of 53.7. At that efficiency level, every additional shot Bargnani takes helps his team. Unfortunately this mark is <i>far </i>above his historical levels. Bargnani's FG% is 54.1 right now; for his career, Bargnani has struggled to hit that number <i><b>as a TS%</b></i>. Remember what I said about small sample sizes? Bargnani is almost certain to begin shooting like his normal self again. And when that happens, the rest of Bargnani's game won't help him, because he is currently below average with respect to rebounding, turnovers, blocks, and steals.<br />
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Right now the team as a whole is on pace to post a 28-38 record. As everyone regresses back to their normal levels, I expect to see that number shrink towards <a href="http://wagesofwins.com/2011/12/26/toronto-will-be-terrible/">19-20 wins</a>.<br />
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- DevinDDignamhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06508911795176535945noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1196014153540046218.post-33376138958771714872011-09-22T11:37:00.000-07:002011-09-22T11:39:24.711-07:00Eurobasket 2011: Raptors EditionIt's been a long time since my last post here at NBeh? - given the lockout, there hasn't been much Raptors news to write about. But with the 2011 Eurobasket tournament <a href="http://wagesofwins.net/2011/09/19/eurobasket-2011-navarro-steals-gasols-mvp/">having just wrapped up</a>, there is finally a bit of tangential analysis that I can write about: how players with various Raptor connections fared playing for their respective teams.<br />
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<b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: x-large;">Current Raptors</span></b><br />
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;"><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/b/bargnan01.html">Andrea Bargnani</a></span><br />
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You're not going to believe what you're about to read, but Bargnani actually played...well...at this year's Eurobasket. I'll say it again: <a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/b/bargnan01.html">Andrea Bargnani</a> played well. And I have no problem saying this. I've always wanted Bargnani to play well - why wouldn't I? The problem up to this point has been that, thus far in his NBA career, he has not been successful. Now, the level of competition at the Eurobasket isn't quite NBA calibre, but it's still rather good. Take a quick look at his numbers:<br />
<ul>
<li><b>Points/40</b>: 26.7</li>
<li><b>FGA/40</b>: 20.6</li>
<li><b>FTA/40</b>: 7.0</li>
<li><b>TS%</b>: 56.3</li>
<li><b>REB/40</b>: 8.7</li>
<li><b>STL/40</b>: 0.5</li>
<li><b>TO/40</b>: 1.4</li>
<li><b>AST/40</b>: 0.9</li>
<li><b>BLK/40</b>: 1.9</li>
<li><b>PF/40</b>: 2.8</li>
<li><b>Estimated Wins</b>: 0.60</li>
<li><b>EWP40</b>: 0.140</li>
</ul>
He finished <a href="http://wagesofwins.net/2011/09/22/team-stats-from-eurobasket-2011-part-ii/">first on his team in total wins</a> and second in terms of efficiency (EWP40), and was just short of halfway between an average player (EWP40 0.100) and a star player (EWP40 0.200). There is cause for concern: most of Bargnani's production came from his shooting, and his rebounding was still a bit low. As a comparison, <a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/n/nowitdi01.html">Dirk Nowitzki</a> grabbed 0.2 REB/40 more than Bargnani, despite the fact that Dirk played most of his minutes alongside <a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/k/kamanch01.html">Chris Kaman</a>, who led the tournament with 14.3 REB/40. But here's hoping that - whenever the next season starts - Bargnani's NBA stats will see some improvement.<br />
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;"><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/c/caldejo01.html">Jose Calderon</a></span><br />
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Just like on the Raptors, Calderon was an unsung hero for champs Spain. He produced the third most wins on the team - behind both WoW MVP <a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/g/gasolpa01.html">Pau Gasol</a> and travesty-of-justice MVP <a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/n/navarju01.html">Juan Carlos Navarro</a> - and was the team's second most productive player on a per minute basis (once again behind Gasol).<br />
<ul>
<li><b>Points/40</b>: 12.2</li>
<li><b>FGA/40</b>: 11.5</li>
<li><b>FTA/40</b>: 0.4</li>
<li><b>TS%</b>: 52.5</li>
<li><b>REB/40</b>: 6.6</li>
<li><b>STL/40</b>: 3.4</li>
<li><b>TO/40</b>: 2.4</li>
<li><b>AST/40</b>: 5.6</li>
<li><b>BLK/40</b>: 0.0</li>
<li><b>PF/40</b>: 5.3</li>
<li><b>Estimated Wins</b>: 1.47</li>
<li><b>EWP40</b>: 0.277</li>
</ul>
He's unsung because he doesn't shoot (and hence score) very often. But don't let the low point totals fool you - Calderon was very, very good. About twice as good as Bargnani was during this tournament, in fact. Calls for Calderon to be relegated to Toronto's backup PG are continue to be unjustified.
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;"><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/v/valanjo01.html">Jonas Valanciunas</a></span><br />
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Hot off a <a href="http://wagesofwins.net/2011/08/17/fiba-u19-wc-mvp-and-all-tournament-team/">dominating performance</a> at the U19 FIBA World Championships, Valanciunas was one of the youngest players to participate in the Eurobasket, and as such, expectations were low. He started off slowly, and it seemed like his coaches were limiting his minutes because they didn't trust him. But when one of Lithuania's centres - Marijonas Petravicius - went down with an injury, Valanciunas got the call. And he definitely delivered. Not nearly as good as he was against the U19s, but still quite good; he finished 6th on his team in wins, and 5th in terms of per minute production.<br />
<ul>
<li><b>Points/40</b>: 21.4</li>
<li><b>FGA/40</b>: 12.7</li>
<li><b>FTA/40</b>: 6.1</li>
<li><b>TS%</b>: 69.4</li>
<li><b>REB/40</b>: 10.4</li>
<li><b>STL/40</b>: 2.3</li>
<li><b>TO/40</b>: 6.6</li>
<li><b>AST/40</b>: 2.3</li>
<li><b>BLK/40</b>: 2.8</li>
<li><b>PF/40</b>: 6.4</li>
<li><b>Estimated Wins</b>: 0.77</li>
<li><b>EWP40</b>: 0.196</li>
</ul>
Valanciunas was <i>this </i>close to hitting the star level (EWP40 0.200). His big problem was turnovers, although fouls were also somewhat of a concern. I expect him to improve in those areas as he gains more experience against veteran players. All in all, a very promising tournament for the young centre.
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<b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: x-large;">Former Raptors</span></b><br />
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;"><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/a/archiro01.html">Robert Archibald</a></span><br />
<ul>
<li><b>Points/40</b>: 11.3</li>
<li><b>FGA/40</b>: 10.0</li>
<li><b>FTA/40</b>: 12.5</li>
<li><b>TS%</b>: 36.3</li>
<li><b>REB/40</b>: 12.5</li>
<li><b>STL/40</b>: 0.0</li>
<li><b>TO/40</b>: 7.5</li>
<li><b>AST/40</b>: 3.8</li>
<li><b>BLK/40</b>: 1.3</li>
<li><b>PF/40</b>: 5.0</li>
<li><b>Estimated Wins</b>: -0.10</li>
<li><b>EWP40</b>: -0.119</li>
</ul>
Yikes. Archibald finished this year's tournament ranked tenth on his team in both wins and efficiency, and he only played 32 minutes. Not much else to say, is there?
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;"><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/b/belinma01.html">Marco Belinelli</a></span><br />
<ul>
<li><b>Points/40</b>: 15.0</li>
<li><b>FGA/40</b>: 13.8</li>
<li><b>FTA/40</b>: 4.3</li>
<li><b>TS%</b>: 48.0</li>
<li><b>REB/40</b>: 3.5</li>
<li><b>STL/40</b>: 1.5</li>
<li><b>TO/40</b>: 1.8</li>
<li><b>AST/40</b>: 4.0</li>
<li><b>BLK/40</b>: 0.0</li>
<li><b>PF/40</b>: 4.0</li>
<li><b>Estimated Wins</b>: 0.45</li>
<li><b>EWP40</b>: 0.112</li>
</ul>
Although Belinelli finished third on Italy in terms of both wins and efficiency, behind Bargnani and Daniel Hackett, he was still only about average. I don't think the Raptors are going to regret trading him away any time soon. Interestingly though, Belinelli played a lot of point guard for Italy during the tournament, and he didn't do too bad a job of it. The assists seem low, but European scorekeepers are not nearly as generous as their NBA equivalents (as evidenced by Calderon's assists above). What impressed me was the lack of turnovers. Of course, Belinelli is known for his shooting and scoring; oddly, shooting efficiency and rebounding were his two weaknesses.
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;"><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/c/cookom01.html">Omar Cook</a></span><br />
<ul>
<li><b>Points/40</b>: 8.9</li>
<li><b>FGA/40</b>: 8.2</li>
<li><b>FTA/40</b>: 3.1</li>
<li><b>TS%</b>: 46.6</li>
<li><b>REB/40</b>: 2.7</li>
<li><b>STL/40</b>: 1.0</li>
<li><b>TO/40</b>: 2.4</li>
<li><b>AST/40</b>: 5.1</li>
<li><b>BLK/40</b>: 0.2</li>
<li><b>PF/40</b>: 3.1</li>
<li><b>Estimated Wins</b>: 0.15</li>
<li><b>EWP40</b>: 0.035</li>
</ul>
Somehow - much like All-tournament team member Bo McCalleb - Cook is an American who found himself playing for a tiny and relatively unknown European country. Unfortunately for Montenegro, <a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/c/cookom01.html">Omar Cook</a> didn't come anywhere close to matching Bo McCalleb's performance: he finished fifth on his team in terms of wins and sixth in terms of efficiency. As with Archibald, there is a reason Cook does not have an NBA contract.
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;"><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/s/slokaur01.html">Uros Slokar</a></span><br />
<ul>
<li><b>Points/40</b>: 12.2</li>
<li><b>FGA/40</b>: 8.5</li>
<li><b>FTA/40</b>: 5.5</li>
<li><b>TS%</b>: 55.7</li>
<li><b>REB/40</b>: 11.0</li>
<li><b>STL/40</b>: 1.2</li>
<li><b>TO/40</b>: 1.2</li>
<li><b>AST/40</b>: 1.2</li>
<li><b>BLK/40</b>: 0.6</li>
<li><b>PF/40</b>: 7.0</li>
<li><b>Estimated Wins</b>: 0.85</li>
<li><b>EWP40</b>: 0.259</li>
</ul>
Slokar actually played very well - he finished fourth in terms of wins and second in terms of efficiency. But there is a distinct difference in his production during games where he only played a few minutes and games where he played around 20 minutes - when Slokar played more, he was more productive. Maybe he should have been given more playing time? One must remember that correlation is not causation, however; perhaps his coaches gave him more minutes when he was playing well. Either way, after this performance, Slokar deserves another shot at an NBA contract.
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;"><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/t/turkohe01.html">Hedo Türkoglu</a></span><br />
<ul>
<li><b>Points/40</b>: 15.7</li>
<li><b>FGA/40</b>: 14.8</li>
<li><b>FTA/40</b>: 4.8</li>
<li><b>TS%</b>: 46.5</li>
<li><b>REB/40</b>: 4.6</li>
<li><b>STL/40</b>: 0.9</li>
<li><b>TO/40</b>: 0.9</li>
<li><b>AST/40</b>: 3.5</li>
<li><b>BLK/40</b>: 0.6</li>
<li><b>PF/40</b>: 3.7</li>
<li><b>Estimated Wins</b>: 0.11</li>
<li><b>EWP40</b>: 0.020</li>
</ul>
Hedo once again shows that he don't - he finished ninth on his team in terms of wins and tenth in terms of efficiency, despite playing the second most minutes on his team. Turkoglu is now 32 and a half years old, which is about the time when most players start to fall off a cliff. Given that he was never all that productive to begin with, this <a href="http://wagesofwins.net/2010/04/09/is-hedo-turkoglu-a-disappointment/">shouldn't be a surprise</a>. But what is a surprise is the level of the drop off - Turkoglu barely finished the tournament producing in the positive range. And while Raptors GM Bryan Colangelo is to blame for signing Turkolgu to such a bad contract, he's also good at cleaning up his own messes: right now Orlando is stuck with three more years and $34 million worth of Hedo-headaches. And oh yeah, they're also stuck with <a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/a/arenagi01.html">Gilbert Arenas</a> for three years and $62 million. Think that <a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/h/howardw01.html">Dwight Howard</a> is going to stay in the Magic Kingdom past 2011-2012?
<br />
<br />
<br />
<b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: x-large;">Long Lost Draftee(s)</span></b><br />
<br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;">Edin Bavcic</span><br />
<ul>
<li><b>Points/40</b>: 6.4</li>
<li><b>FGA/40</b>: 5.7</li>
<li><b>FTA/40</b>: 4.3</li>
<li><b>TS%</b>: 42.3</li>
<li><b>REB/40</b>: 8.6</li>
<li><b>STL/40</b>: 0.7</li>
<li><b>TO/40</b>: 2.1</li>
<li><b>AST/40</b>: 2.1</li>
<li><b>BLK/40</b>: 0.7</li>
<li><b>PF/40</b>: 7.9</li>
<li><b>Estimated Wins</b>: -0.13</li>
<li><b>EWP40</b>: -0.096</li>
</ul>
Anyone remember Bavcic? He finished ranked 10th in wins and efficiency on Bosnia & Herzegovina, and only played 56 minutes. Not too much to say here, either.
<br />
<br />
<br />
Well that was fun! Hopefully we'll have some more Raptors related news in the near future. For more analysis of the Eurobasket 2011 stats, head on over to the <a href="http://wagesofwins.net/">Wages of Wins Journal</a>.
<br />
<div>
<br /></div>
<div>
- Devin</div>
DDignamhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06508911795176535945noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1196014153540046218.post-86602651485105067682011-08-06T10:14:00.000-07:002011-08-06T10:14:07.283-07:00Andrea Bargnani: The Centre who plays like he’s 6 inches shorter<i>New readers, please check out <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/p/basics.html">the basics</a> before leaving any comments. The following post is a post I wrote (with <a href="http://wagesofwins.net/team/">Dre</a>'s help) over at the <a href="http://wagesofwins.net/">Wages of Wins Journal</a>.</i><br />
<br />
<br />
<a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/b/bargnan01.html">Andrea Bargnani</a> is a <a href="http://wagesofwins.net/2011/07/28/trivia-baddest-of-the-bad/">bad player</a>. He is a <a href="http://wagesofwins.net/2011/07/28/killing-their-team/">historically bad player</a>. His assigned job is centre. Yet, he does none of the jobs expected of a centre. Some people defend Bargnani and it’s often with one of these two arguments:<br />
<ul>
<li>Bargnani isn’t your run-of-the-mill centre. Treat him like a shooting guard. </li>
<li><a href="http://nba-point-forward.si.com/2011/08/04/top-100-nba-players-pt-iv-nos-61-70/?sct=nba_t12_a2">Bargnani is an offensive centre</a> [You can say that again!]. His scoring is his skill and any good team could use it. </li>
</ul>
<br />
<a name='more'></a><br /><br />
<div>
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: x-large;">Treat Bargnani like a Shooting Guard</span><br />
<div>
<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://dberri.files.wordpress.com/2011/08/kobe_bargnani.jpg" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img src="http://dberri.files.wordpress.com/2011/08/kobe_bargnani.jpg?w=521&h=465" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Bargnani the shooting guard</td></tr>
</tbody></table>
<br />
Recently I read a good article on <a href="http://www.hardwoodparoxysm.com/2011/07/18/the-lost-season-boris-diaw-05-06/">Boris Diaw and his one good season</a>. The following tangentially related comment stood out at me:<br />
<blockquote>
Andrea Bargnani may not be a star, but if he were 6 inches shorter, his style of play would be understandable. Once he broke out of the predetermined mold, he is deemed incompetent until he achieves success.</blockquote>
I disagree with the author <a href="http://www.hardwoodparoxysm.com/author/noam/">Noam Schiller</a> that Bargnani is deemed incompetent because he broke out of the “mold” of the typical centre. I deem Bargnani incompetent due to a consistent lack of productivity. I do like the idea that Bargnani plays more like a shooting guard, and if he was shorter, people like me – and everyone else at the Wages of Wins Network – wouldn’t be so hard on him.<br />
<br />
We’re expected to let Bargnani pass as a shooting guard in a centre’s body. This brings up an interesting point. How does Bargnani stack up against shooting guards with similar skillsets? Because Bargnani is a centre lauded for his shooting ability, we looked for guards who posted a True Shooting percentage above 53.3% and grabbed at least 7.0 rebounds per 48 minutes (both figures are identical to the ones Bargnani posted during the 2010-11 season). That gave us the following six players:<br />
<br />
<a href="http://dberri.files.wordpress.com/2011/08/bargs_sg22.png"><img src="http://dberri.files.wordpress.com/2011/08/bargs_sg22.png?w=392&h=228" /></a><br />
<br />
That’s right: <a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/w/wadedw01.html">Dwyane Wade</a>, <a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/b/bryanko01.html">Kobe Bryant</a>, <a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/s/sefolth01.html">Thabo Sefolosha</a>, <a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/s/smithjr01.html">J.R. Smith</a>, <a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/c/childjo01.html">Josh Childress</a>, and <a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/g/geeal01.html">Alonzo Gee</a> all shot more efficiently and grabbed more rebounds than the Raptors’ starting centre. And that’s not all – the other parts of their games are better than the Italian’s too. To make matters worse is that even as a shooting guard (the position with the lowest overall productivity) Bargnani is still significantly below average. An average player posts a WP48 of 0.100 and in Bargnani’s playing time would have earned around 5.0 wins. At 2.9 wins our seven footer still comes up short even if we spot him 6 inches.</div>
<div>
<br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: x-large;">Bargnani is an Offensive Centre</span><br />
<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://dberri.files.wordpress.com/2011/08/kevin_love_numbers.jpg" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img src="http://dberri.files.wordpress.com/2011/08/kevin_love_numbers.jpg?w=356&h=427" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: small;">Kevin Love knows numbers. Bargnani does not.</span></td></tr>
</tbody></table>
Nevertheless, Bargnani is a centre with a unique skill, right? After all, how many big men shoot as well and as often as he does? Well, thanks to Kevin Love (and others) here come some numbers:<br />
<br />
<a href="http://dberri.files.wordpress.com/2011/08/shootingcentres_bargs1.png"><img src="http://dberri.files.wordpress.com/2011/08/shootingcentres_bargs1.png?w=483&h=248" /></a><br />
<br />
Turns out there are seven other good-shooting big men who are better shooters than Bargnani:<a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/l/loveke01.html">Kevin Love</a>, <a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/a/anderry01.html">Ryan Anderson</a>, <a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/n/nowitdi01.html">Dirk Nowitzki</a>, <a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/m/millebr01.html">Brad Miller</a>, <a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/f/fryech01.html">Channing Frye</a>, <a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/g/gallida01.html">Danilo Gallinari</a>, and <a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/r/radmavl01.html">Vladimir Radmanovic</a>. Here I’ve defined “big man” as any player 6’10″ or taller. During the 2010-11 season, each of these players made 34.4% of their three-point attempts, hit over 81.0% of their free-throw attempts, and managed a True Shooting percentage greater than 53.2%.<br />
<br />
Of these eight players, Bargnani ranked:<br />
<ul>
<li>8th in 3P% </li>
<li>7th in FT% </li>
<li>6th in 3PA/48 </li>
<li>tied for 7th in REB/48 </li>
<li>8th in Wins Produced </li>
</ul>
Needless to say, while Bargnani may be a deep-shooting big man, there are several other players who do it better. Love, Anderson, Miller and Nowitzki are quite productive as scoring bigs, but it turns out not all of our other tall players are*. Scoring does not guarantees success as a big. That said, Bargnani still falls woefully short on our list when we use it as a measuring stick.<br />
<br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: x-large;">Summing Up – Play J.R. Smith Instead</span><br />
<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://dberri.files.wordpress.com/2011/08/j-r-smith-timduncan.jpg" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img src="http://dberri.files.wordpress.com/2011/08/j-r-smith-timduncan.jpg?w=350&h=237" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: small;">J.R. Smith can play big if needed.</span></td></tr>
</tbody></table>
Bargnani’s supposedly unique ability – his shooting – is something he doesn’t even do particularly well. As a shooting guard with a 6 inch edge Bargnani can’t even play above average. As a shooting centre Bargnani isn’t unique or even in the top five among his peers.<br />
<br />
If the Raptors really want to stick with a guard-centre, there are cheaper and easier options. While the Lakers and the Heat probably won’t be cutting ties with Kobe or D-Wade any time soon, J.R. Smith is an unrestricted free agent and Josh Childress is potentially available through trade. If the Raptors are really interested in placing a shooting guard at centre, they could at least hire a better and cheaper one than Bargnani<br />
<br />
- Devin (with some help from Dre)<br />
<br />
<i>*Luckily unlike Toronto Denver actually plays Danilo as a small forward and as such he is actually helpful to the team.</i></div>
</div>
DDignamhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06508911795176535945noreply@blogger.com7tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1196014153540046218.post-77519977267646046972011-06-26T01:04:00.000-07:002011-06-26T01:04:30.749-07:00Quick thoughts: 2011 NBA DraftNew readers, check out <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/p/basics.html">the basics</a> before leaving any comments.<br />
<br />
I’ll offer more in-depth coverage shortly, but here are my quick thoughts on the 2011 NBA draft. If you need more draft data in the meantime, take a look at my <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/2011/05/2011-nba-draft-prospects-overview.html">full draft prospects preview</a>.<br />
<a name='more'></a><br />
<div>Importantly, my evaluations rely on <a href="http://dberri.wordpress.com/2011/01/23/a-very-early-look-at-the-2011-nba-draft/">Position Adjusted Win Score (PAWS)</a>. PAWS takes Win Score per 40 and adjusts it by position, because each position has different average values. To calculate this, take the WS/40 of a player, subtract the average positional value, and then add the average value for all players. The average values that I'm using are the same ones used by <a href="http://dberri.wordpress.com/">David Berri</a>, who is one of the brains behind Win Score and Wins Produced. With players who are listed as playing two positions, I use a simple average of the two positional values in question. For those who are curious, the values are as follows:</div><div><br />
</div><div><div style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"></div><ul><li>PG: 7.4 </li>
<li>SG: 8.4 </li>
<li>SF: 9.95 </li>
<li>PF: 12.59 </li>
<li>C: 12.32 </li>
<li>All players: 10.17 </li>
</ul><br />
Ranking all players by PAWS gives us a good idea of how well a player performed in their various leagues. A word of warning, though: NCAA PAWS/40 does not correlate perfectly to NBA success, and Euroleague PAWS/40 is even worse. There are players with historically good NCAA PAWS (like <a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/b/beaslmi01.html">Michael Beasley</a>) who don't turn out to be good players, just as there are players with poor or mediocre NCAA PAWS who turn out to be pretty decent players (<a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/w/walljo01.html">John Wall</a> and <a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/r/rosede01.html">Derrick Rose</a> come to mind). For the most part, though, players with a PAWS of 10 or higher usually end up being good NBA players, and players with a PAWS of under 7 end up being below average players. Euroleague PAWS are far less reliable due to the way basketball is played overseas, and to my knowledge, no one has examined how well Euroleague PAWS correlate with NBA productivity. Keep this information in mind while using this data.<br />
<br />
<br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: x-large;">1. Who won the draft?</span><br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="http://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/nba/sml/den.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="http://a.espncdn.com/i/teamlogos/nba/sml/den.gif" /></a></div><br />
Without question, the Denver Nuggets made the best choices on draft night. With the #22, the Nuggets managed to get the NCAA player who posted the highest PAWS/40 (17.28) in the draft, Kenneth Faried. Then they picked up Jordan Hamilton at #26, who posted the 21st best PAWS/40 (at 10.72) in the draft. Of course, the cost of acquiring the #26 was swapping <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/f/feltora01.html" target="_blank">Raymond Felton</a></strong> for <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/m/millean02.html" target="_blank">Andre Miller</a></strong>, but (ignoring age) that was largely a lateral move, as Felton and Miller produce at about the same rate and are very close matches salary-wise. With a lineup of <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/l/lawsoty01.html" target="_blank">Ty Lawson</a></strong>, <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/a/afflaar01.html" target="_blank">Arron Afflalo</a></strong>, Jordan Hamilton, Faried, Nene, and <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/m/millean02.html" target="_blank">Andre Miller</a></strong>, <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/c/chandwi01.html" target="_blank">Wilson Chandler</a></strong>, <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/g/gallida01.html" target="_blank">Danilo Gallinari</a></strong>, and <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/a/anderch01.html" target="_blank">Chris Andersen</a></strong> coming off the bench (or a similar permutation), Denver looks really scary.<br />
<br />
<br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: x-large;">2. Who lost the draft?</span><br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://lh6.googleusercontent.com/caRbGrVuDwKNB7saHh91IXkzZuSRrDRINfhuEdfyVspo3LdLvX3ZzNX2TXPFvPstLrU7jrvWlMWbeXk_1A5sVYWyRrsFb5fMy2gPXOqxat9S4vCyoYk" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://lh6.googleusercontent.com/caRbGrVuDwKNB7saHh91IXkzZuSRrDRINfhuEdfyVspo3LdLvX3ZzNX2TXPFvPstLrU7jrvWlMWbeXk_1A5sVYWyRrsFb5fMy2gPXOqxat9S4vCyoYk" /></a></div><br />
With the #6, #18, and #34 picks, the Wizards had a chance at a huge draft haul. Instead, they walked away with Jan Vesely, Chris Singleton, and Shelvin Mack. Vesely posted a PAWS/40 of 6.76 overseas, which was only good enough for 66th place among all the players who were drafted. Singleton (8.50, 47th) and Mack (8.67, 43rd) weren’t much better, but at least they were somewhat close to average (PAWS/40 of 10) and not below the cutoff line (PAWS/40 of 7).<br />
<br />
<br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: x-large;">3. Who made the biggest steal?</span><br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://lh4.googleusercontent.com/yPXV0VZCelfUCAskjoU-dgCb7iZIDGi3ML-5suf5mlYMTStLgJzu3g4ssN_ZuTsAdyUZrni1esCMv4go91P3yYlRrIqzrHnSgyng8YXgsEWcI1tvOF0" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://lh4.googleusercontent.com/yPXV0VZCelfUCAskjoU-dgCb7iZIDGi3ML-5suf5mlYMTStLgJzu3g4ssN_ZuTsAdyUZrni1esCMv4go91P3yYlRrIqzrHnSgyng8YXgsEWcI1tvOF0" /></a></div></div><div><br />
There were a lot of second round steals this year, but to me, the team that had no business getting what it got was the San Antonio Spurs. In exchange for <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/h/hillge01.html" target="_blank">George Hill</a></strong> - an average guard still on his rookie contract - the Spurs got Kawhi Leonard, who posted a PAWS/40 of 13.02, which was good enough for 4th amongst all drafted players. The really amazing part about the trade is that they still have a strong guard rotation (Parker, Ginobili), it shores up the Spurs’ weakest position (small forward), and takes minutes away from the unproductive <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/j/jefferi01.html" target="_blank">Richard Jefferson</a></strong>. Now the Spurs can trot out a starting lineup of Parker, Giniobili, Leonard, <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/b/blairde01.html" target="_blank">DeJuan Blair</a></strong>, and <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/d/duncati01.html" target="_blank">Tim Duncan</a></strong>, and try for one last ring before Duncan retires.<br />
<br />
<br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: x-large;">4. Who made the biggest reach?</span><br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a4pL2AYYCws3ozu6NsCBdp3qGyQrsjKeZCnXN5M3KDXIgjYL0o2CmSlwdTRj6a6tEGgh7Bf7STTNii9__4YWkDmhrh6t_ggQOuMjKv-rhSFvoeIUmbs" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a4pL2AYYCws3ozu6NsCBdp3qGyQrsjKeZCnXN5M3KDXIgjYL0o2CmSlwdTRj6a6tEGgh7Bf7STTNii9__4YWkDmhrh6t_ggQOuMjKv-rhSFvoeIUmbs" /></a></div><br />
Canadian Tristan Thompson had a PAWS/40 of 8.18, which put him 51st out of all the players who were drafted, and yet the Cavs selected him at #4. While I’m glad they did - it certainly removed any chance that my favourite team, the Raptors, would draft the hometown boy one pick later - it was not a good pick. They made the right choice by picking Kyrie Irving with the #1, but man...there were much better options available at #4. Honourable mentions go out to Washington (Jan Vesely, picked 6th, ranked 66th) and Detroit (Brandon Knight, picked 8th, ranked 65th).<br />
<br />
<br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: x-large;">5. How did the Raptors do?</span><br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjWFJZj38rytz1K7l_lBdM6q0qE-sh_VRWFZcd1k8DUkMu2wD83NTITZ6CpPzdr_hdtaECF8si43mKSZtubpz2BhEEALFCwz3gtJxiRr626gfdNb-jSE3wd5PwvYHQSiC1cUSdsePHdF50O/s1600/raptors.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjWFJZj38rytz1K7l_lBdM6q0qE-sh_VRWFZcd1k8DUkMu2wD83NTITZ6CpPzdr_hdtaECF8si43mKSZtubpz2BhEEALFCwz3gtJxiRr626gfdNb-jSE3wd5PwvYHQSiC1cUSdsePHdF50O/s1600/raptors.png" /></a></div><br />
With the #5 pick, the Raptors selected Lithuanian centre Jonas Valanciunas. Valanciunas didn't play very many minutes last year <i>and </i>his stats are from overseas, so it's hard to say what kind of a player he will turn out to be. But the stats that he put up were impressive (all rate stats are per 40 minutes):<br />
<br />
<ul><li>Pts: 20.4</li>
<li>FG%: 70.0%</li>
<li>FTA: 4.6</li>
<li>FT%: 91.7%</li>
<li>Reb: 14.6</li>
<li>Stl: 0.6 </li>
<li>TOs: 3.7 </li>
<li>Blk: 1.7</li>
<li>Ast: 0.6</li>
<li>PF: 8.3</li>
</ul><div>In limited minutes, his shooting was incredibly efficient and his rebounding was excellent. The turnovers and fouls need some work, but hopefully that was due to the aggression that many bench players suffer from (they have limited minutes, so when they come into the game they tend to force the issue). As far as PAWS/40 goes, he was the highest rated international player and had the 5th largest PAWS/40 of any player in the entire draft, at 12.95. Valanciunas was indeed a <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/2011/05/2011-nba-draft-prospects-overview.html">mystery box</a> option, but he was the best mystery box option, and I'm rather happy with this pick. Given that all signs were pointing towards a Brandon Knight, Bismack Biyombo, or even Tristan Thompson, I'm glad the Raptors ended up with the Lithuanian, even if he <a href="http://sports.nationalpost.com/2011/06/24/valanciunas-to-join-raptors-in-2012-13-sources/">won't make it here until the 2012-13 season</a>. As a bonus, centre is the one position that the Raptors desperately need to improve, and this pick points towards a Bargnani trade in the near future. I don't get to say this very often, but kudos to <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/executives/colanbr99x.html" target="_blank">Bryan Colangelo</a></strong> for a job well done!</div><br />
<br />
- Devin<br />
<br />
</div>DDignamhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06508911795176535945noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1196014153540046218.post-14460389193254829172011-06-22T00:11:00.000-07:002011-06-22T17:32:49.402-07:00Full 2011 NBA Draft Prospect Overview<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;"><span id="internal-source-marker_0.5027220395859331" style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">New readers, please check out </span><a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/p/basics.html"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: underline; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">the basics</span></a></span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"> before leaving any comments.</span></span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 15px; white-space: pre-wrap;"> </span><br />
<div style="background-color: transparent; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br />
</span></span></div><div style="background-color: transparent; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">**(Note: the images are too large to be properly uploaded into Blogger, so I will be moving them into Google Docs format)**</span></span><br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br />
</span></span><br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">About a month ago I posted my numberless <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/2011/05/2011-nba-draft-prospects-overview.html">preview of the NBA draft</a>. The draft is coming up this Thursday, so now's the time to put out the full version of the post (it's been ready for a whole month, I swear!).</span></span></div><div style="background-color: transparent; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"> </span></span></div><div style="background-color: transparent; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">In case you've been stuck under a rock for the past few months, you'll know that the NBA draft is coming up shortly. My team of choice (for now....) is the Toronto Raptors; the Raptors will have the fifth pick this year. My question is, according to the numbers, which players should the Raptors (or any other team, for that matter) target?</span><br />
<span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"></span></span><br />
<a name='more'></a><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;"><br />
<span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">In order to determine this, I've turned to</span><a href="http://dberri.wordpress.com/2011/01/23/a-very-early-look-at-the-2011-nba-draft/"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: underline; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"> Position Adjusted Win Score (PAWS)</span></a><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">. PAWS takes Win Score per 40 and adjusts it by position, because each position has different average values. To calculate this, take the WS/40 of a player, subtract the average positional value, and then add the average value for all players. The average values that I'm using are the same ones used by </span><a href="http://dberri.wordpress.com/"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: underline; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">David Berri</span></a><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">, who is one of the brains behind Win Score and Wins Produced. With players who are listed as playing two positions, I use a simple average of the two positional values in question. For those who are curious, the values are as follows:</span></span><br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"> </span></span></div><div style="background-color: transparent; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;"></div><div style="background-color: transparent; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;"><ul><li style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; list-style-type: disc; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;">PG: 7.4</span></span></li>
<li style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; list-style-type: disc; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;">SG: 8.4</span></span></li>
<li style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; list-style-type: disc; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;">SF: 9.95</span></span></li>
<li style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; list-style-type: disc; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;">PF: 12.59</span></span></li>
<li style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; list-style-type: disc; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;">C: 12.32</span></span></li>
<li style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; list-style-type: disc; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;">All players: 10.17</span></span></li>
</ul><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"> </span></span><br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">Ranking all players by PAWS will give us a good idea of how well a player performed in their various leagues. A word of warning, though: NCAA PAWS does not correlate perfectly to NBA success, and Euroleague PAWS are even worse. There are players with historically good NCAA PAWS (like </span><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/b/beaslmi01.html"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">Michael Beasley</span></a><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">) who don't turn out to be good players, just as there are players with poor or mediocre NCAA PAWS who turn out to be pretty decent players (</span><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/w/walljo01.html"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">John Wall</span></a><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"> and </span><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/r/rosede01.html"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">Derrick Rose</span></a><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"> come to mind). For the most part, though, players with a PAWS of 10 or higher usually end up being good NBA players, and players with a PAWS of under 7 end up being below average players. Euroleague PAWS are far less reliable due to the way basketball is played overseas, and to my knowledge, no one has examined how well Euroleague PAWS correlate with NBA productivity. Remember this information while using this data.</span><br />
<span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"></span><br />
<span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">I've also included a few other things in my table, like Player Efficiency Rating (PER), "Overrated Percentage", and "Highest Expected Draft Number". PER is a method developed by John Hollinger to measure productivity; unfortunately, it is inherently flawed for determining productivity. However, the reason I'm including PER in these charts is that PER is a very good measure of people's </span><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: italic; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">perceptions </span><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">of productivity. Players with low PER but higher PAWS are underrated players who should be easy to grab in the second round, and players with high PER but lower PAWS are overrated players that are to be avoided at all costs (unless you pick an overrated player - like, say...</span><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/m/mayooj01.html"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">O.J. Mayo</span></a><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"> - and then trade that player for an underrated player - like, say...</span><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/l/loveke01.html"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">Kevin Love</span></a><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"> - but that's risky).</span><br />
<span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"></span><br />
<span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">Overrated percentage is calculated by taking a player's PER, dividing by the average PER (15), and subtracting the result of the player's PAWS divided by the average PAWS (10.17), which gives us what I've called RATE (which isn't an acronym for anything; I just like to shout). The average RATE is then subtracted from each player's RATE to determine Overrated Percentage.</span><br />
<span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"></span><br />
<span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">I used </span><a href="http://www.draftexpress.com/"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: underline; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">Draft Express</span></a><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">, </span><a href="http://www.mynbadraft.com/"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: underline; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">MyNBADraft.com</span></a><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">, and </span><a href="http://www.nbadraft.net/"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: underline; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">NBADraft.net</span></a><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"> to determine "Highest Expected Draft Number". The statistics are from Draft Express. Rather than taking an average, I simply took the earliest projected selection for each player. This method suggests that 72 players will be vying for the 60 available draft slots. In addition to the players who have actually declared for the draft, I've also included players who have explicitly removed themselves from the draft, as well as a number of player about which I have no information (I assume that most of them are NCAA seniors, but some of them aren't).</span><br />
<span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"></span><br />
<span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">With all that out of the way, here is the chart for the prospective 2011 NBA Draft class, sorted by expected draft position (spreadsheet <a href="https://spreadsheets0.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?hl=en_US&hl=en_US&key=0Ah54B3U6f_nndHpDa1Y0SzZwRFhCZGkyYUthSXBPMFE&single=true&gid=2&output=html">here</a></span></span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">):</span></span><br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br />
</span></span><br />
<iframe frameborder="0" height="500" src="https://spreadsheets0.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?hl=en_US&hl=en_US&key=0Ah54B3U6f_nndHpDa1Y0SzZwRFhCZGkyYUthSXBPMFE&single=true&gid=2&output=html&widget=true" width="570"></iframe><br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 15px; white-space: pre-wrap;"> </span><br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 15px; white-space: pre-wrap;"> </span><br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 15px; white-space: pre-wrap;">And here it is again, this time sorted by PAWS (spreadsheet <a href="https://spreadsheets0.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?hl=en_US&hl=en_US&key=0Ah54B3U6f_nndHpDa1Y0SzZwRFhCZGkyYUthSXBPMFE&single=true&gid=0&output=html">here</a>):</span><br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;"> <span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"></span></span><br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"> </span></span><br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgUvBddAvq23FhZ_2-mKOJoGx3TnSZ-BUxqfwGEVt6wHucxEncCSJerKcz7J5JNvkhqTLA8VkvB1XMw-PAmwcXmvjUc1QkqoMWYysL7x99QWi1kWhSWw9UrzuBOXcLam28Otq8L1sVBRRdB/s1600/PAWS2011Draft_by_PAWS.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: black;"></span></a></div><iframe frameborder="0" height="500" src="https://spreadsheets0.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?hl=en_US&hl=en_US&key=0Ah54B3U6f_nndHpDa1Y0SzZwRFhCZGkyYUthSXBPMFE&single=true&gid=0&output=html&widget=true" width="570"></iframe><br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"> </span></span><br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"> </span></span><br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;"> <span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">By PER (which should be used to assess </span><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><i>perception </i></span><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">of productivity, not productivity itself) (spreadsheet <a href="https://spreadsheets0.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?hl=en_US&hl=en_US&key=0Ah54B3U6f_nndHpDa1Y0SzZwRFhCZGkyYUthSXBPMFE&single=true&gid=3&output=html">here</a>) :</span></span><br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"> </span></span><br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiq1j22MsGCEMP04wiM4ACLcab4g7gb1fxeBN1b9IXQ4JCQbLd6m_JdfO6dIJnezLNd4oU_mAnh9hPHR09HEaqBEzyNuus46E9Jsvz8FLQUo_9gon9h_Zx_RklexHKrxO57sZ2bZLyF7pas/s1600/PAWS2011Draft_by_PER.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: black;"></span></a></div><iframe frameborder="0" height="500" src="https://spreadsheets0.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?hl=en_US&hl=en_US&key=0Ah54B3U6f_nndHpDa1Y0SzZwRFhCZGkyYUthSXBPMFE&single=true&gid=3&output=html&widget=true" width="570"></iframe><br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br />
</span></span><br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;"> <span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">And finally, as sorted by overrated percentage (spreadsheet <a href="https://spreadsheets0.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?hl=en_US&hl=en_US&key=0Ah54B3U6f_nndHpDa1Y0SzZwRFhCZGkyYUthSXBPMFE&single=true&gid=4&output=html">here</a>):</span></span><br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"> </span></span><br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhpI3KMyPe9So_0p-GQC7Be5gdRq1uHiQrbZimn5Pea41-YdCC0dp79NONMp436arGfpwtF-iWR7J4lFVvz1eTO2zARLtRcde0o-aZkWxJU7LJ3kxh2ceRS5yzCdos20NTpU2FL6GqhpJ_y/s1600/PAWS2011Draft_by_Overrated.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: black;"></span></a></div><iframe frameborder="0" height="500" src="https://spreadsheets0.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?hl=en_US&hl=en_US&key=0Ah54B3U6f_nndHpDa1Y0SzZwRFhCZGkyYUthSXBPMFE&single=true&gid=4&output=html&widget=true" width="570"></iframe><br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"> </span></span><br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"> </span></span><br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;"> <span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">So, which players should be avoided?</span><br />
<span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"></span></span><br />
<ul><li style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; list-style-type: disc; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;">Of the players who look like they might be drafted in the top 10, Brandon Knight is the only NCAA player who doesn't look very good, with a PAWs of 6.97. I really hope that he doesn’t end up on the Raptors....</span></span></li>
<li style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; list-style-type: disc; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;">Canadian Tristan Thompson is also not looking too good here either, but at least he makes it past 7 - his PAWS is 8.18</span></span></li>
<li style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; list-style-type: disc; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;">Of the other NCAA players, Tobias Harris, Trey Thompkins, Josh Selby, Kyle Singler, Malcolm Lee, Scotty Hopson, Vernon Macklin, and Justin Hurtt don't look like they will provide good value at their best case spot.</span></span></li>
<li style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; list-style-type: disc; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">Of the international players who might go in the top 10, Donatas Motiejunas looks absolutely atrocious, with a PAWS of 4.6 Even worse, here's what draft express </span><a href="http://www.draftexpress.com/profile/Donatas-Motiejunas-1300/"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: underline; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">has to say</span></a><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"> about him: his "best case" is </span><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/b/bargnan01.html"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">Andrea Bargnani</span></a><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">, and his "worst case" is </span><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/f/fryech01.html"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">Channing Frye</span></a><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">. Ouch. If the Raptors pick him, I will no longer be following the team.</span></span></li>
<li style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; list-style-type: disc; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;">Jan Vesley also looks even worse than Knight, with a PAWS of 6.76</span></span></li>
<li style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; list-style-type: disc; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;">Bismack Biyombo is a bit low, with a PAWS of 8.72. Still, it's close enough to average that he might surprise, and his sample size was small.</span></span></li>
<li style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; list-style-type: disc; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;">Of the other international players who might get drafted, Bojan Bogdanovic looks pretty bad.</span></span></li>
</ul><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"></span><br />
<span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">Which players look promising?</span><br />
<span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"></span></span><br />
<ul><li style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; list-style-type: disc; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;">Kyrie Irving posted a PAWS of 15.07, which is really good. Of course, he only played in 11 games, so who knows how the small sample size will hold up.</span></span></li>
<li style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; list-style-type: disc; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;">Kenneth Faried - who, it looks like, won't be drafted until 17th or later - has the highest PAWS of any player on the list. If you're looking for the likely steal of the draft, Faried's your man.</span></span></li>
<li style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; list-style-type: disc; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;">Keith Benson, Charles Jenkins, and Marshon Brooks all look like they will be bargains.</span></span></li>
<li style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; list-style-type: disc; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;">Iman Shumpert, Nikola Vucevic, Ben Hansbrough, Malcolm Thomas, Chandler Parsons, Justin Holiday, Willie Reed, and Matthew Bryan-Amaning also have the potential to be steals.</span></span></li>
</ul><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;"><br />
<span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">Which look overrated?</span><br />
<span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"></span></span><br />
<ul><li style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; list-style-type: disc; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;">Jon Leuer and Gary Flowers are ranked 15th and 16th, respectively, in PER amongst players likely to be drafted, but both post PAWS that are under 8. Leuer is thought of more highly because he is taller and younger (Flowers is 25)</span></span></li>
<li style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; list-style-type: disc; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;">Troy Gillenwater doesn't look like he's going to be selected, but he's the next most overrated of the players who have declared for the draft.</span></span></li>
<li style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; list-style-type: disc; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;">Jimmer Fredette is the fourth most overrated player due to the fact that he takes so many shots.</span></span></li>
<li style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; list-style-type: disc; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;">A few good players are overrated: Derrick Williams is 7th, Charles Jenkins is 9th, Marcus Morris is 13th, and Kemba Walker is 15th.</span></span></li>
</ul><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;"><br />
<span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">Which look underrated?</span><br />
<span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"></span></span><br />
<ul><li style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; list-style-type: disc; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;">DeAndre Liggins is the most underrated player amongst players likely to be drafted. Unfortunately, his PAWS is just a shade under 8 and so he's not necessarily a player you would want to pick. The same is also true for Canadian Cory Joseph, who is the third most underrated player who is likely to be selected.</span></span></li>
<li style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; list-style-type: disc; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;">Justin Holiday and Chandler Parsons are the only above-average players who are significantly underrated (2nd and 4th, respectively).</span></span></li>
</ul><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;"><br />
<span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">Which players are "the mystery box"?</span><br />
<span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"></span></span><br />
<ul><li style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; list-style-type: disc; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;">Enes Kanter may go as high as the 3rd overall pick, but I don't have any stats for him. He has played internationally, so he's not a complete unknown, but I don't know if I'd take a chance on him at #3. He's also only 18 years old, which could be either a good thing or a bad thing.</span></span></li>
<li style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; list-style-type: disc; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;">Jonas Valanciunas may go as high as the 4th overall pick, but he only played 14.9 minutes per game across 14 games over in Europe. While his PAWS is good, his sample size is small and possibly unreliable. He's 19 years old.</span></span></li>
<li style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; list-style-type: disc; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;">Lucas Nogueira may go as high as the 21st pick, but he doesn't have any stats either. He's an 18 year old Brazilian centre who I've never heard of before.</span></span></li>
</ul><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;"><br />
<span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">Given all this, who should the Raptors go after? Well, it would be nice to know what position the Raptors will have on draft night, but we won't find that out for a few more days now. Since that is the case, I would like to offer two scenarios:</span><br />
<span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"></span></span><br />
<ol><li style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; list-style-type: decimal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;">With the top 5 pick, the Raptors should draft any of the following players (in no particular order): Kyrie Irving, Kemba Walker, Markieff Morris, Kawhi Leonard, Derrick Williams, Alec Burks, and Marcus Morris. If the Raptors are feeling risky, the mystery box options are Enes Kanter and Jonas Valanciunas, but that could end badly.</span></span></li>
<li style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; list-style-type: decimal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;">The Raptors could trade down and pick Kenneth Faried, Travis Leslie, Jordan Williams, Reggie Jackson, or Charles Jenkins.</span></span></li>
<li style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; list-style-type: decimal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;">If the Raptors somehow acquire a second round pick (right now they have none), they should go after Keith Benson, Norris Cole, Marshon Brooks, Iman Shumpert, Nikola Vucevic, Ben Hansbrough, Malcolm Thomas, Chandler Parsons, and Justin Holiday. There may also be some draft eligible players amongst the question marks on these tables; if any of them have high PAWS, these players are the type that teams should draft in the second round.</span></span></li>
</ol><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit;"><br />
<span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">I'm of the opinion that you always take the best player available, rather than to try to fit a need. That means that even though the Raptors should be looking for a C or a SG/SF, they may have to draft another PF. Of course, the team might have to trade away some of its unproductive players to make this strategy work, but I would hope that no one would have a problem with that.</span><br />
<span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"></span><br />
<span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"></span><br />
<span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">Hopefully that's exhaustive enough to keep everyone occupied! Once the draft is over, I'll be offering a run down of the moves made by each team, so stay tuned.</span><br />
<span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"></span><br />
<span style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 11pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"> - Devin</span></span></div>DDignamhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06508911795176535945noreply@blogger.com4tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1196014153540046218.post-34269082531157993852011-06-04T16:35:00.000-07:002011-06-04T16:35:08.506-07:002010-11 League Opponent StatsNew readers, please check out <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/p/basics.html">the basics</a> before leaving any comments.<br />
<br />
<br />
It's been over a week since I posted the <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/2011/05/2010-11-league-team-stats.html">league team stats</a>...time to get the league opponent stats up.<br />
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Here they are (full spreadsheet available <a href="https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?hl=en_US&hl=en_US&key=0Ah54B3U6f_nndHVJc0t0WExBTkhza0xUSE1LSVRtbkE&single=true&gid=20&output=html">here</a>):<br />
<br />
<iframe frameborder="0" height="500" src="https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?hl=en_US&hl=en_US&key=0Ah54B3U6f_nndHVJc0t0WExBTkhza0xUSE1LSVRtbkE&single=true&gid=20&output=html&widget=true" width="500"></iframe><br />
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<a name='more'></a><br />
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And this post wouldn't be complete without including a flawed, double-scrolling sortable table, now would it (full chart available <a href="https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?hl=en_US&hl=en_US&key=0Ah54B3U6f_nndHVJc0t0WExBTkhza0xUSE1LSVRtbkE&single=true&gid=21&output=html">here</a>)?<br />
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<iframe frameborder="0" height="430" src="https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?hl=en_US&hl=en_US&key=0Ah54B3U6f_nndHVJc0t0WExBTkhza0xUSE1LSVRtbkE&single=true&gid=21&output=html&widget=true" width="500"></iframe><br />
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Here are my Raptor-related thoughts:<br />
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<ul><li>We already knew that Toronto's defence was bad - but specifically, the Raps allowed their opponents to have the second highest True Shooting percentage (TS%) of any team's opponents in the league. Perhaps a bit more interesting is that <a href="http://pistonsbythenumbers.wordpress.com/">Detroit</a> was the only team that allowed their opponents to shoot better....</li>
<li>Is there anything particularly interesting about how the Raptors give up such a high TS%? Not really. The team allowed the 2nd highest 2PT%, the 3rd highest 3PT%, and the 5th most free throw attempts. They also had the 4th highest opponent free throw tendency (FTA/FGA). Add it all up and the Raptors allowed the 4th most points per 48 minutes, just behind the T-Wolves, the Knicks, and the Warriors.</li>
<li>Raptors' opponents were in the middle of the pack when it comes to rebounding - only 15th.</li>
<li>The Raptors were very generous with the ball, allowing their opponents the 7th most steals.</li>
<li>The team was an unremarkable 15th in forcing turnovers.</li>
<li>Put it all together, and opponents were only 15th in net possessions. Despite the glaring rebounding issues of the team's starting centre, it is defense - not rebounding - that led to the team's dismal record (something I'd attribute to the rebounding abilities of his various front court teammates).</li>
<li>Getting into the "helpers", opponents collected the 7th most assists while playing Toronto. This makes sense, given the poor defense.</li>
<li>Opponents blocked the 8th highest number of shots - I'm sure that <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/e/evansre01.html" target="_blank">Reggie Evans</a></strong> had at least <a href="http://twitter.com/#!/NBAStatsCube/status/66283553314439168">a small part in that</a>.</li>
<li>Raps' opponents committed the 5th fewest fouls - and it's <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/2011/05/2010-11-league-team-stats.html">not because the team settles for threes</a>. In fact, <a href="http://hoopdata.com/teamshotlocs.aspx">Toronto took the 2nd fewest 3PT FGs in the league</a> (behind only Memphis), and the 2nd most shots at the rim (behind only Denver). Unfortunately, the team also managed to take the 3rd most shots from 16-23 feet; that would be okay if the team employed <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/n/nowitdi01.html" target="_blank">Dirk Nowitzki</a></strong>, but when you have <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/b/bargnan01.html" target="_blank">Andrea Bargnani</a></strong>, <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/d/derozde01.html" target="_blank">DeMar DeRozan</a></strong>, and <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/b/barbole01.html" target="_blank">Leandro Barbosa</a></strong> taking most of your shots, those are shots that you should try to limit.</li>
</ul><div><br />
</div><div>I'll wrap up with some brief thoughts on the recent happenings in Raptor-land:</div><div><ul><li>The team ended up with the 5th pick in the draft. Who should they pick, or should they trade the pick? I'll tell you who they shouldn't pick: Brandon Knight and Canadian Tristan Thompson. Both did not perform as well in college as the other NCAA players who are in the running to be selected at #5.</li>
<li>I'm wary of the international prospects. Most have little experience playing against high-level competition, and the likelihood of drafting a bust is high. Of course, the potential payoff could also be large; all things considered, I would recommend that the Raptors avoid <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/2011/05/2011-nba-draft-prospects-overview.html">choosing the mystery box</a>.</li>
<li><strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/executives/colanbr99x.html" target="_blank">Bryan Colangelo</a></strong> was extended for two years, with a team option for a 3rd. How do I feel about that? Not so good, but as a Raptors fan, I have learned to see the positive side of everything. Number one: the deal could've been longer. Number two: Colangelo finally sounds like he's tired of the Bargnani nonsense. All things considered, it could be worse.</li>
<li>Head coach <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/coaches/trianja99c.html" target="_blank">Jay Triano</a></strong> will not be back next season. While Triano wasn't very good at determining players' minutes and seemed like he <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/2011/03/jay-triano-raps-seventh-or-eighth-best.html">doesn't understand even basic "advanced" basketball statistics</a>, Triano simply did what was expected of him and was indistinguishable from most other NBA coaches. Perhaps he was simply trying to do what was best for his NBA coaching career, and as such, I don't really blame him.</li>
<li>But the good thing about Triano was his price: as a coach with no previous experience as an NBA head coach, Triano came cheap. It's unlikely that the new head coach will be as cheap, as the team will likely target already established ex-coaches like <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/coaches/frankla99c.html" target="_blank">Lawrence Frank</a></strong> and <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/coaches/vanguje99c.html" target="_blank">Jeff Van Gundy</a></strong>. If this new coach also does little to distinguish himself from other NBA head coaches, then this is simply wasted money.</li>
<li>In terms of the right coach for the job, given the quality of the team, I would advocate for a coach that wants to play at a slower pace. Playing at a slower pace maximizes the chances that the worse team will end up winning the game, and given that it is likely that the Raptors will be a bad team next season, that is the way to go. The fact that most coaches who like to play at a slower pace also tend to be defensive minded coaches is simply a bonus. Given this, Frank and Van Gundy are actually pretty good options. My preference between the two would be Frank, but it would also depend on the asking salary. The best option is probably a relatively unknown (and cheap) NBA assistant coach.</li>
</ul><div><br />
</div></div><div>In the next few weeks, I promise that I will have plenty of interesting draft analysis ready for you. Keep your eye on the Wages Of Wins Network for more announcements from other WoW writers, too.</div><div><br />
</div><div> - Devin</div>DDignamhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06508911795176535945noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1196014153540046218.post-33604130499508733072011-05-24T13:12:00.000-07:002011-05-24T13:13:44.627-07:002010-11 League Team StatsNew readers, please check out <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/p/basics.html">the basics</a> before leaving any comments.<br />
<br />
<br />
As promised, here are this year's team stats for every team in the NBA (full spreadsheet <a href="https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?hl=en_US&hl=en_US&key=0Ah54B3U6f_nndHVJc0t0WExBTkhza0xUSE1LSVRtbkE&single=true&gid=5&output=html">here</a>):<br />
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<br />
<iframe frameborder="0" height="500" src="https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?hl=en_US&hl=en_US&key=0Ah54B3U6f_nndHVJc0t0WExBTkhza0xUSE1LSVRtbkE&single=true&gid=5&output=html&widget=true" width="500"></iframe><br />
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And here is the sortable chart, still with the double scrolling issues (full spreadsheet <a href="https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?hl=en_US&hl=en_US&key=0Ah54B3U6f_nndHVJc0t0WExBTkhza0xUSE1LSVRtbkE&single=true&gid=19&output=html">here</a>):<br />
<br />
<iframe frameborder="0" height="445" src="https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?hl=en_US&hl=en_US&key=0Ah54B3U6f_nndHVJc0t0WExBTkhza0xUSE1LSVRtbkE&single=true&gid=19&output=html&widget=true" width="500"></iframe><br />
<br />
Here are my thoughts and observations:<br />
<div><ul><li>The Raps were not a good-shooting team. They were okay at shooting twos (10th in 2PT%), but the inability to take (29th in 3PT tendency) and make (30th in 3PT%) threes was very damaging. This lead to an adjusted field goal percentage that placed 21st in the league.</li>
<li>Despite this, they were pretty good at jacking it up: 10th in FGA/48.</li>
<li>In terms of free-throws, the team was middle of the pack in attempts, at 16th, and 17th with respect to free-throw tendency. But the team was 22nd in FT%.</li>
<li>Put it all together, and the team was 21st in true shooting percentage.</li>
<li>I can imagine casual fans saying: "true shooting percentage? That made up stat probably means nothing!" So which teams were tops in the league in TS%? In order: DEN, MIA, SAS, DAL, BOS, NYK, OKC, PHO, ORL, and HOU. Only two of those teams missed the playoffs - and the Rockets and Suns would've been the 6th and 8th seeds, respectively, if they were in the East.</li>
<li>After a promising start to the season the Raptors finished 22nd in rebounds per 48 mins. The team was 8th in offensive rebounds per 48 minutes (and 8th in offensive rebounding percentage), so the culprit was poor defensive rebounding (27th in defensive rebounds per 48 and 25th in defensive rebounding percentage).</li>
<li>Toronto placed 8th in turnovers (not a good thing) and 21st in steals.</li>
<li>All told, the Raptors were 25th in net possessions (REB+STL-TO). Teams that do well in this area are generally successful. The top ten teams were: LAL, CHI, HOU, PHI, OKC, MEM, SAS, IND, DEN, and MIL. Of these teams, only the Rockets and the Bucks missed the playoffs; the Rockets I've already mentioned, and the Bucks were hampered by being the worst-shooting team in the league (and had a little bad luck).</li>
<li>As far as "helpers" go, the team was 14th in assists/48 minutes, 26th in blocks/48 minutes, and 5th in fouls/48 minutes (not good).</li>
<li>To top it all off, the Dinos were also the 9th most unlucky team, as measured by the difference between the number of games the team actually won and the number of games we would expect them to win (based on the team's point differential).</li>
</ul><div><br />
</div></div><div> - Devin</div>DDignamhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06508911795176535945noreply@blogger.com3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1196014153540046218.post-88814073698392528272011-05-16T14:58:00.000-07:002011-05-20T12:06:51.963-07:002011 NBA Draft Prospects OverviewNew readers, please check out <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/p/basics.html">the basics</a> before leaving any comments.<br />
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<br />
In case you've been stuck under a rock for the past few months, you'll know that the NBA draft is coming up shortly. My team of choice (for now....) is the Toronto Raptors; the Raptors will likely have a top three pick and can fall no lower than 6th. My question is, according to the numbers, which players should the Raptors (or any other team, for that matter) target?<br />
<br />
Well, I have a post written up and ready with all of the numbers included, but I'm actually going to keep that unpublished until right before the draft. Why? Let's just say that it'll be some good content to help launch a new website. So for now, I'm going to operate contrary to my normal M.O. and post some stat-free player assessments, organized into five categories: players to avoid, promising players, overrated players, underrated players, and "mystery box" players<br />
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;">Avoid:</span><br />
<ul><li>Of the players who look like they might be drafted in the top 10, Brandon Knight is the only NCAA player who doesn't look very good.</li>
<li>Tristan Thompson is also not looking too good here either, but he's much better than Knight.</li>
<li>Of the other NCAA players, Tobias Harris, Trey Thompkins, Josh Selby, Kyle Singler, Malcolm Lee, Scotty Hopson, Vernon Macklin, and Justin Hurtt don't look like they will provide good value at their best case spot.</li>
<li>Of the international players who might go in the top 10, Donatas Motiejunas looks absolutely atrocious. Even worse, here's what draft express <a href="http://www.draftexpress.com/profile/Donatas-Motiejunas-1300/">has to say</a> about him: <span class="Apple-style-span" style="-webkit-border-horizontal-spacing: 1px; -webkit-border-vertical-spacing: 1px; line-height: 13px;">his "best case" is <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/b/bargnan01.html" target="_blank">Andrea Bargnani</a></strong>, and his "worst case" is <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/f/fryech01.html" target="_blank">Channing Frye</a></strong>. Even though Draft Express mixed up the best case/worst case players, ouch. If the Raptors pick him, I will no longer be following the team.</span></li>
<li><span class="Apple-style-span" style="-webkit-border-horizontal-spacing: 1px; -webkit-border-vertical-spacing: 1px; line-height: 13px;"></span>Jan Vesley also looks even worse than Knight.</li>
<li>Bismack Biyombo didn't post impressive numbers. Still, he's close enough to average that he might surprise, and his sample size was small.</li>
<li>Of the other international players who might get drafted, Bojan Bogdanovic looks pretty bad.</li>
</ul><br />
<div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;">Promising:</span></div><div><ul><li>Kyrie Irving is really good. Of course, he only played in 11 games, so who knows how the small sample size will hold up.</li>
<li>Kenneth Faried - who, it looks like, won't be drafted until 17th or later - is the most productive player in the draft. If you're looking for the likely steal of the draft, Faried's your man.</li>
<li>Keith Benson, Charles Jenkins, and Marshon Brooks all look like they will be bargains.</li>
<li>Iman Shumpert, Nikola Vucevic, Ben Hansbrough, Malcolm Thomas, Chandler Parsons, Justin Holiday, Willie Reed, and Matthew Bryan-Amaning also have the potential to be steals.</li>
</ul><br />
<div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;">Overrated:</span></div><div><ul><li>Jon Leuer and Gary Flowers are are the most overrated players in the draft. Leuer is thought of more highly than Flowers because he is taller and younger (Flowers is 25)</li>
<li>Troy Gillenwater doesn't look like he's going to be selected, but he's the next most overrated of the players who have declared for the draft.</li>
<li>Jimmer Fredette is the fourth most overrated player due to the fact that he takes so many shots.</li>
<li>A few good players are overrated: Derrick Williams is 7th, Charles Jenkins is 9th, Marcus Morris is 13th, and Kemba Walker is 15th.</li>
</ul><br />
<div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;">Underrated:</span></div></div><div><ul><li>DeAndre Liggins is the most underrated player amongst players likely to be drafted. Unfortunately, he's still not necessarily a player you would want to pick. The same is also true for Canadian Cory Joseph, who is the third most underrated player who is likely to be selected.</li>
<li>Justin Holiday and Chandler Parsons are the only above-average players who are significantly underrated (2nd and 4th, respectively).</li>
</ul><br />
</div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;">Mystery box:</span></div></div><ul><li>This category is inspired by a memorable <a href="http://tvseries.ilvys.com/family-guy-series/season-02-episode-08-14/">Family Guy episode</a> (from one of the original three seasons when the show was still good; the relevant clip is from 0:59-4:35) where Peter chooses a mystery box over a boat, because "a boat's a boat, but a mystery box could be anything! It could even be a boat! And you know how much we've been wanting one of those!" These players could turn out to be anything, from a very good pick to as valuable as a pair of tickets to a crappy comedy club.</li>
<li>Enes Kanter may go as high as the 3rd overall pick, but I don't have any stats for him. He has played internationally, so he's not a complete unknown, but I don't know if I'd take a chance on him at #3. He's also only 18 years old, which could be either a good thing or a bad thing.</li>
<li>Jonas Valanciunas may go as high as the 4th overall pick and is the most productive international player in the draft, but he only played 14.9 minutes across 14 games over in Europe. He's 19 years old.</li>
<li>Lucas Nogueira may go as high as the 21st pick, but he doesn't have any stats either. He's an 18 year old Brazilian centre who I've never heard of before.</li>
</ul><div><br />
</div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;">Who should the Raptors pick?</span><br />
<br />
Given all this, who should the Raptors go after? Well, it would be nice to know what position the Raptors will have on draft night, but we won't find that out for a few more days now. Since that is the case, I would like to offer two scenarios:</div><div><ol><li>With a top 6 pick, the Raptors draft any of the following players (in no particular order): Kyrie Irving, Kemba Walker, Markieff Morris, Kawhi Leonard, Derrick Williams, Alec Burks, and Marcus Morris. If the Raptors are feeling risky ("who could resist the call of the mystery box?"), the mystery box options are Enes Kanter and Jonas Valanciunas, but that could end badly.</li>
<li>The Raptors could trade down and pick Kenneth Faried, Travis Leslie, Jordan Williams, Reggie Jackson, or Charles Jenkins. </li>
<li>If the Raptors somehow acquire a second round pick (right now they have none), they should go after Keith Benson, Norris Cole, Marshon Brooks, Iman Shumpert, Nikola Vucevic, Ben Hansbrough, Malcolm Thomas, Chandler Parsons, and Justin Holiday. There may also be some other draft eligible players amongst the players that are not listed in mock drafts that might be worth a look.</li>
</ol><div><br />
I'm of the opinion that you always take the best player available, rather than to try to fit a need. That means that even though the Raptors should be looking for a C or a SG/SF, they may have to draft another PF. Of course, the team might have to trade away some of its unproductive players to make this strategy work, but I would hope that no one would have a problem with that.</div></div><div><br />
<br />
</div><div>Hopefully that's enough to keep everyone occupied until I post the full article!</div><div><br />
</div><div> - Devin</div>DDignamhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06508911795176535945noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1196014153540046218.post-7198922085325160882011-05-14T20:43:00.000-07:002011-05-14T20:43:48.588-07:002010-11 Raptor Charts Part II<div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;">New readers, please check out <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/p/basics.html">the basics</a> before leaving any comments.</div><div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;"><br />
</div><div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;">Yesterday I posted <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/2011/05/2010-11-raptor-charts-part-i.html">part one</a>, which included both team and individual charts showing the game-by-game distribution of both field goal attempts and scoring efficiency (as determined by the formula PTS-FGA-0.5*FTA). Today I'll be posting the part two, which does the same for Net Possessions and "Helpers".</div><div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;"><br />
</div><div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;">A player's Net Possesions is determined by the formula REB+STL-TO. This formula rewards those who gain possessions for their teams, and punishes those who give the ball away. Who do we think is going to show up first using this method?</div><div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;"></div><a name='more'></a><br />
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<div class="separator" style="clear: both; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEil-B_6kjVt32aQKXkxRlYdR0WdS6xcNJyEm4-C9vs957YwAiKneo1y1kvRCyC5uU4RFRzQusnRVxaNSgpS-2t8ST3UBMRxSOE6jMzvJ2uOkRudwfY0KRCDa9sTmdexEQrcWCSIQuEkYkfw/s1600/TOR_NetPoss.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="178" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEil-B_6kjVt32aQKXkxRlYdR0WdS6xcNJyEm4-C9vs957YwAiKneo1y1kvRCyC5uU4RFRzQusnRVxaNSgpS-2t8ST3UBMRxSOE6jMzvJ2uOkRudwfY0KRCDa9sTmdexEQrcWCSIQuEkYkfw/s320/TOR_NetPoss.png" width="320" /></a></div><div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;"><br />
</div><div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;">It's not who you think it is! <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/d/davised01.html" target="_blank">Ed Davis</a></strong> and <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/j/johnsam01.html" target="_blank">Amir Johnson</a></strong> led the team, but given the fact that <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/e/evansre01.html" target="_blank">Reggie Evans</a></strong> only played in 30 games, I think it's safe to say that he was the best on the team at gaining possessions. <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/b/bargnan01.html" target="_blank">Andrea Bargnani</a></strong>'s poor rebounding really shows here. Remember, none of these numbers are adjusted for position, so even though he played fewer games, Bargnani should be gaining quite a few more possessions than the team's starting shooting guard. An important thing to notice is that the sum of the player totals only add up to 72% of the team totals; this is because there are rebounds and turnovers assigned at the team level that are not credited to individual players (they show up in the box scores as "team rebounds" or "team turnovers").</div><div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;"><br />
</div><div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;">Speaking of individual players, here are the individual charts:</div><div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh1L_2JoOvoGwCuKxfQlQy-qAqcbtDJkHvPoSUSWBxtoFZ1Kvr6WCyM_93QdZwRa95TH_wZeRdYGP94JiPdrYke1VMIz_o__Tb4M3K3ns0W8xJyEsWoerWLI6nTwwAbAjjXJeXwEvt5OUpq/s1600/TOR_NetPoss_Players.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh1L_2JoOvoGwCuKxfQlQy-qAqcbtDJkHvPoSUSWBxtoFZ1Kvr6WCyM_93QdZwRa95TH_wZeRdYGP94JiPdrYke1VMIz_o__Tb4M3K3ns0W8xJyEsWoerWLI6nTwwAbAjjXJeXwEvt5OUpq/s1600/TOR_NetPoss_Players.png" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; text-align: center;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; text-align: left;">Here are the interesting things that I take from these:</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; text-align: left;"></div><ul><li>As mentioned previously, Bargnani rebounds like <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/d/derozde01.html" target="_blank">DeMar DeRozan</a></strong>, who doesn't even rebound well for shooting guard. Accordingly, both players have similar possession breakdowns: Bargnani had 8% of his games fall into the -5 to -1 range; DeRozan had 9%. Bargnani had 61% of his games fall into the 0-4 range; DeRozan had 67%. Bargnani had 26% of his games fall into the 5-9 range; DeRozan had 22%. Bargnani had 6% of his games fall into the 10-14 range; DeRozan had 2%.</li>
<li><strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/b/bayleje01.html" target="_blank">Jerryd Bayless</a></strong>, <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/b/barbole01.html" target="_blank">Leandro Barbosa</a></strong>, and <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/w/weemsso01.html" target="_blank">Sonny Weems</a></strong> had the largest percentage of games in the negative range, with 23%, 19%, and 19%, respectively.</li>
<li><strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/c/caldejo01.html" target="_blank">Jose Calderon</a></strong>, <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/j/johnsam01.html" target="_blank">Amir Johnson</a></strong>, <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/d/davised01.html" target="_blank">Ed Davis</a></strong>, <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/e/evansre01.html" target="_blank">Reggie Evans</a></strong>, and <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/d/dorsejo01.html" target="_blank">Joey Dorsey</a></strong> did not have a single game where their Net Possessions were in the negative range. While that's not so impressive coming from the forwards, I am impressed that Calderon - the team's point guard and number one ball-handler - managed to pull it off.</li>
<li><strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/e/evansre01.html" target="_blank">Reggie Evans</a></strong> had 21 games - 70% of his season - at 10 or more Net Possessions. To put that in perspective, <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/d/davised01.html" target="_blank">Ed Davis</a></strong> was second on the team in this regard, and he only managed 15 games - 23% of his season - at 10 or more Net Possessions.</li>
</ul><br />
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</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; text-align: left;">Onto the "Helpers", then. Along with shooting efficiency and Net Possessions, Helpers are a component of Win Score. Basically Helpers are the leftover stats that aren't captured in shooting and possessions; Helpers are determined by the formula AST*0.5+BLK*0.5-PF*0.5. The lowest possible score is -3, due to the fact that (<a href="http://www.slamonline.com/online/nba/2010/04/don-nelson-ends-season-in-his-own-bizarre-way/">unless you play for Don Nelson</a>) a player is limited to 6 fouls each game. Given that formula, it's a no-brainer as to who led the team this year:</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; text-align: left;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEijA3mlfO3DitpiJ5X38CGF8FFVuAOQrr-ab_RXoLv4bTSBRvaQ_YckG_XmqYonsyfWujNaGYtQdwVpouOEg7xVL8NUNrCe4HBW58JANsb5trqzydCQtXEsKMyJFQ6j19tbS8C4Ndo-hY8b/s1600/TOR_Helpers.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="246" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEijA3mlfO3DitpiJ5X38CGF8FFVuAOQrr-ab_RXoLv4bTSBRvaQ_YckG_XmqYonsyfWujNaGYtQdwVpouOEg7xVL8NUNrCe4HBW58JANsb5trqzydCQtXEsKMyJFQ6j19tbS8C4Ndo-hY8b/s400/TOR_Helpers.png" width="400" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; text-align: left;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; text-align: left;">Not surprisingly, it's Calderon who led the team. But what <i>is </i>surprising is the extent of his contribution - Calderon produced 139% of the team totals. Yes, that's right: the rest of the team actually contributed negative Helpers. What do the individual tables look like?</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; text-align: left;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjE6axsYWErmU0x3OK5vKlDpzNpf0HunwsBK30JMjJN0JArLjUlaD8rQhU1xBpGm_qVhHGoX1L54HcuXPACVq30ZJbDa_DkNtIL_ZpdY72FdvSLHiYGFhpwIlidb-H9YUfKRoNcD9xmw9hV/s1600/TOR_Helpers_Players.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjE6axsYWErmU0x3OK5vKlDpzNpf0HunwsBK30JMjJN0JArLjUlaD8rQhU1xBpGm_qVhHGoX1L54HcuXPACVq30ZJbDa_DkNtIL_ZpdY72FdvSLHiYGFhpwIlidb-H9YUfKRoNcD9xmw9hV/s1600/TOR_Helpers_Players.png" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; text-align: left;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; text-align: left;">Here are the other interesting things I notice:</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; text-align: left;"></div><ul><li>Calderon only had one game with a negative score.</li>
<li>Due to his tendency to foul, <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/j/johnsam01.html" target="_blank">Amir Johnson</a></strong> has the worst totals on the team.</li>
<li>Bargnani is somehow the only PF or C on the team with positive totals.</li>
<li><strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/w/wrighju01.html" target="_blank">Julian Wright</a></strong> and <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/j/johnsja01.html" target="_blank">James Johnson</a></strong> - who had similar total minutes played - both scored 16.5. As I keep pointing out, these two players are very similar to each other. Across all these different measurements, the only area where these two players were significantly different was in FGA (Johnson took more, of course).</li>
</ul><div><br />
</div><div>Well, that's it for this year's Raptor distribution charts. On Monday I'll be posting a draft analysis of every player in the 2011 NBA Draft (including some players who decided not to declare). At some point, I also have to post the final team stats and team opponent stats as well, so look for those to show up in the near future.<br />
<br />
- Devin</div>DDignamhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06508911795176535945noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1196014153540046218.post-13709158587159126892011-05-13T13:16:00.000-07:002011-05-13T13:20:00.768-07:002010-11 Raptor Charts Part I<div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;">New readers, please check out <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/p/basics.html">the basics</a> before leaving any comments.</div><div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;"><br />
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</div><div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;">I have a couple of things to post today (with more to come in a bit). The first is a link to a piece about the "<a href="http://courtsideanalyst.wordpress.com/2011/05/09/the-nbas-20-most-harmful-players-in-2010-11/">most harmful players</a>" of the regular season by Ty Willihnganz over at Courtside Analyst (take a stab at why this article would be relevant to the Raptors). Ty also has posted his <a href="http://courtsideanalyst.wordpress.com/2011/05/10/2010-11-nba-win-charts-nba-team-wins-and-losses-attributed-to-individual-players/">MWS Charts for every NBA team</a> - go and take a look at Toronto's numbers. The overall numbers are very similar to Wins Produced - although by MWS, Bargnani looks even worse, Reggie looks even better, and <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/d/davised01.html" target="_blank">Ed Davis</a></strong> looks more average.</div><div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;"><br />
</div><div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;">I have also been working on various Raptor charts over the last few weeks. <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/2011/03/nuggets-knicks-and-melo-effect.html">Several weeks ago</a>, I looked at how the Denver Nuggets' FGA changed before and after the <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/a/anthoca01.html" target="_blank">Carmelo Anthony</a></strong> trade, and the intention was always to apply the same technique to the Raptors at the end of the season. Well, the season has been over for the Raptors for a while now, so it's time to get this up.<br />
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</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh4ka0VfkWWPV86WhYgQiXOWN7_ug9REVk3Lf3OMkM0opZPW_Bb_vXcdaZj6aBWg1t4AZ81yokUwVL-6MCjXn8PcMglvRTP03M5TXSm7aXuqF00OpLUPlmgvOEpGvx49Iwmpu8qnTZm8opV/s1600/billymays.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh4ka0VfkWWPV86WhYgQiXOWN7_ug9REVk3Lf3OMkM0opZPW_Bb_vXcdaZj6aBWg1t4AZ81yokUwVL-6MCjXn8PcMglvRTP03M5TXSm7aXuqF00OpLUPlmgvOEpGvx49Iwmpu8qnTZm8opV/s320/billymays.png" style="cursor: move;" width="249" /></a></div><div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;"><br />
</div><div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;">You didn't think that was all I've been working on, did you? In addition to the team FGA charts, I will also be posting Net Possession charts, Helpers charts, and Scorers charts. Don't know what I'm talking about? I'll explain once we get there.</div><div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;"><br />
</div><div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;">First up: FGA Charts.</div><div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjgYfS2TUpsC4HfzTJqIRR9DrQfL9iSErbO6GK5lrWdQdIzoKFTCvOD_u9Z-XLFx2Un9XwfhhHk9MkrX_aY79ujMn2UvPfRBIDSfvXjTabBRRselZQkCvmrlK1rx9VE27T2p4pQkv9_-XNt/s1600/TOR_FGA_Team.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="222" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjgYfS2TUpsC4HfzTJqIRR9DrQfL9iSErbO6GK5lrWdQdIzoKFTCvOD_u9Z-XLFx2Un9XwfhhHk9MkrX_aY79ujMn2UvPfRBIDSfvXjTabBRRselZQkCvmrlK1rx9VE27T2p4pQkv9_-XNt/s400/TOR_FGA_Team.png" style="cursor: move;" width="400" /></a></div><div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;"><br />
</div><div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;">I've changed the organization of the chart; when I made the Denver ones I sorted players by total FGA, and this time I'm sorting by games played. I think it's easier to identify which players stick out (either by taking more or fewer shots than one would expect) this way. Of course, with the bars arranged horizontally, it's still hard to examine the tendencies of individual players, so we still need individual charts. Here they are:</div><div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi-ROBedx7UKIMYZCyLQH9PhV-_U-qZWQNH-muJvoWzBceU0035ruCuZSYLiGWDrb0SNObm8DqdJKjGylJMzyDSJMfHFskGiCU0w2AvWnW5WxP28zcsYolayDOQts5Zg-7bcnzO8FWVUmIo/s1600/TOR_FGA_Player.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi-ROBedx7UKIMYZCyLQH9PhV-_U-qZWQNH-muJvoWzBceU0035ruCuZSYLiGWDrb0SNObm8DqdJKjGylJMzyDSJMfHFskGiCU0w2AvWnW5WxP28zcsYolayDOQts5Zg-7bcnzO8FWVUmIo/s1600/TOR_FGA_Player.png" style="cursor: move;" /></a></div><div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;"><br />
</div><div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;">What do these tell us? <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/b/bargnan01.html" target="_blank">Andrea Bargnani</a></strong>, <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/d/derozde01.html" target="_blank">DeMar DeRozan</a></strong>, and <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/b/barbole01.html" target="_blank">Leandro Barbosa</a></strong> take a lot of shots. For bit players, <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/w/weemsso01.html" target="_blank">Sonny Weems</a></strong> and <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/k/kleizli01.html" target="_blank">Linas Kleiza</a></strong> are pretty shot-happy too. <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/c/caldejo01.html" target="_blank">Jose Calderon</a></strong>, <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/j/johnsam01.html" target="_blank">Amir Johnson</a></strong>, <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/d/davised01.html" target="_blank">Ed Davis</a></strong>, <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/w/wrighju01.html" target="_blank">Julian Wright</a></strong>, and <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/e/evansre01.html" target="_blank">Reggie Evans</a></strong> don't take very many shots. Of course, none of this is very surprising if you followed the team throughout the season.</div><div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;"><br />
</div><div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;">But I know a way to make this more useful; instead of simply looking at FGA, what about trying to figure out which players make the most out of their opportunities? The simplest way of doing this is to take the components of win score that measure shooting efficiency, which would be PTS-FGA-0.5xFTA. This formula takes the added value of three pointers into account, but does not reward players for shooting inefficiently from the field or from the line. By measuring this on a game-by-game basis for each player, we can get an idea of how often a player has productive games (from a shooting perspective), as well as their season totals. Here's what the chart looks like:</div><div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEicn-cpby9G2zPNLCz0RixV62mobEkNkoom3oDs-qsRdAloQq6SA6DDq7W9T0ivyG44DSW3wIGv1ARwx1-bVttZZdPOWBw62S2jUni7EWxfCmEpk63HtmOsLPSwpkzKxC0ypDkLX4zQI0ph/s1600/TOR_Scorers.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="178" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEicn-cpby9G2zPNLCz0RixV62mobEkNkoom3oDs-qsRdAloQq6SA6DDq7W9T0ivyG44DSW3wIGv1ARwx1-bVttZZdPOWBw62S2jUni7EWxfCmEpk63HtmOsLPSwpkzKxC0ypDkLX4zQI0ph/s320/TOR_Scorers.png" style="cursor: move;" width="320" /></a></div><div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;"><br />
</div><div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;">Ah, this is much more useful. Now we can clearly see who the best scorer on the team is: <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/j/johnsam01.html" target="_blank">Amir Johnson</a></strong>. Even though he didn't take many shots, he made the most of his opportunities and actually led the team in "scorer points", with 113 of the the team's 381. Similarly, using this method we can see that Weems and Evans are very unproductive scorers, Calderon is also a little bit lower than we'd hope, and Barbosa and Bargnani actually do okay here. Of course <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/d/davised01.html" target="_blank">Ed Davis</a></strong> does just as well as those two - while taking far fewer shots - but hey, at least they are positive.</div><div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;"><br />
</div><div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;">But those are only the totals - what about the game-by-game results? Well, for starters, Bargnani had the worst shooting game of any player on the team - he had one game where his "scorer points" were in the -11 to -15 range. To balance that out, though, he also had two of the team's four 10+ games. The rest is rather hard to figure out without individual charts, so here we go again:</div><div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;"><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjZAxPkARXekYZ_2Pe_qUwnCC-GaAb-C4yL7bXiwTvLqEkt_eXRtTHas1OCAj6WPDW43Vvb2b3qZ0w-o70649JP4VPQHbCdwF_Ct2aeBPFg3AuGepvffZzmuep-nZtvgkd3XKNpboJumS5n/s1600/TOR_Scorers_Players.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjZAxPkARXekYZ_2Pe_qUwnCC-GaAb-C4yL7bXiwTvLqEkt_eXRtTHas1OCAj6WPDW43Vvb2b3qZ0w-o70649JP4VPQHbCdwF_Ct2aeBPFg3AuGepvffZzmuep-nZtvgkd3XKNpboJumS5n/s1600/TOR_Scorers_Players.png" style="cursor: move;" /></a></div><div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;"><br />
</div><div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;">A couple of interesting points: the team results suggest a normal distribution that is slightly skewed towards the positive end. This means that, in general, better shooters are taking more shots. Moving to the players, Bargnani and DeRozan have distributions that are roughly the same as the team distribution...which kinda makes sense, given that they took the bulk of the team's shots. Barbosa, Weems, and Kleiza all have normal-ish distribution as well, but theirs are skewed towards the negative end. <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/j/johnsam01.html" target="_blank">Amir Johnson</a></strong>, <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/d/davised01.html" target="_blank">Ed Davis</a></strong>, <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/w/wrighju01.html" target="_blank">Julian Wright</a></strong>, and <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/d/dorsejo01.html" target="_blank">Joey Dorsey</a></strong> all have distributions that are skewed even more positively.</div><div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;"><br />
</div><div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;">Now we know which players were the best at shooting and scoring, but what about gaining possessions and "helpers"? Well, I've made charts for those, too. But this entry is taking too long to get posted, so I'm making it into a separate post.</div><div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;"><br />
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</div><div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;"> - Devin</div><div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;"><br />
</div>DDignamhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06508911795176535945noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1196014153540046218.post-6794022157253196222011-04-24T21:57:00.000-07:002011-04-26T12:56:01.273-07:002010-11 Raptors Season ReviewNew readers, please check out <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/p/basics.html">the basics</a> before leaving any comments.<br />
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Now that the season is official over for the Raptors, it's a good time to review how the season went.<br />
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<b><u>Team Overview:</u></b><br />
Team Record: 22-60 (28th)<br />
Eastern Conference Standing: 14th<br />
Team Wins Produced: 23.3 (27th)<br />
Point Differential: -6.28 (27th)<br />
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Even the brief numbers aren't pretty; in a little bit I'll take a deeper look at the team numbers, but for now let's just take a quick look. The Raptors finished with the 3rd-worst record in the league (2nd-worst in the East), behind only Cleveland and Minnesota. In terms of Wins Produced and point differential - both better indicators of team quality than Win-Loss record - the Raps finished with the 4th-worst numbers in the league.<br />
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Certainly not very happy numbers. And actually, even worse than the paltry amount of wins I predicted that the team would end up with (which was <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/2010/10/updates-season-and-team-projections.html">28 wins</a>). What happened to the Raptors this season? Well, it would make sense if I compared what I thought would happen against what actually happened.<br />
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<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgpd9KPktXEQEDfPT13iA-PdX6vN5TnmCfoehS37HOFXca2Wyfd-aJERZWmyleugBVgn8DlBIpFX0P8CgAW-26yikzXI5NUqyko76cykCIf6StofbWGzJV-jSeC7h9kyFumoyb0eCHxjJ4g/s1600/2010-11+team+review.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="400" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgpd9KPktXEQEDfPT13iA-PdX6vN5TnmCfoehS37HOFXca2Wyfd-aJERZWmyleugBVgn8DlBIpFX0P8CgAW-26yikzXI5NUqyko76cykCIf6StofbWGzJV-jSeC7h9kyFumoyb0eCHxjJ4g/s400/2010-11+team+review.png" width="355" /></a></div><br />
Well, if I could've predicted the minute distribution at the start of the season (which, obviously, I couldn't do before the season started), I would've been within 0.6 wins of what actually transpired, which is pretty damn good. Of course, that doesn't mean that I nailed every player perfectly; there are some discrepancies, and that is to be expected. While player performance is relatively stable from year to year, players can get injured, improve their level of play, or see their performance decline due to age or regression to the mean. That being said, the majority of the players on the team were very close to what we would expect based on their historical performance.<br />
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Based on these numbers (and the more detailed numbers that are up on the <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/p/2010-11-raptor-season-stats.html">2010-11 Raptor Season Stats</a> page), I'm going to hand out a number of team awards. I don't want to give any player more than one award, because I'll be using each award to offer a brief comment on the player's season, but each award is well-deserved in every case.<br />
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<b><u>Team MVP</u></b> - <i>This award is given to the Raptor who produced the most total wins over the course of the season.</i><br />
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<b><strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/c/caldejo01.html" target="_blank">Jose Calderon</a></strong></b> led the Raptors with 8.1 wins in 2102 minutes - rather comfortably ahead of <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/j/johnsam01.html" target="_blank">Amir Johnson</a></strong> (6.1 wins), <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/d/davised01.html" target="_blank">Ed Davis</a></strong> (5.5 wins), and <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/e/evansre01.html" target="_blank">Reggie Evans</a></strong> (5.3 wins). Calderon followed up a <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/2010/10/raptors-preseason-review-4-of-4.html">poor preseason</a> with a slow start to the season, but once former starter <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/2010/11/full-tor-noh-trade-analysis.html">Jarret Jack was traded to the Hornets</a>, Calderon largely returned to form. Despite the constant complaints about Calderon's defense and his low scoring totals, Calderon is still - without question - the team's best point guard, and ended the season with the most wins of any player on the team.<br />
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<b><u>Team LVP</u></b> - <i>This award is given to the Raptor who produced the fewest total wins over the course of the season.</i><br />
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<b><strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/b/bargnan01.html" target="_blank">Andrea Bargnani</a></strong></b> wrapped up this award earlier in the season; in fact, Bargnani actually "led" the entire league in terms of fewest wins this season and won the eponymous <a href="http://dberri.wordpress.com/2011/04/14/the-final-anti-awards-for-2010-11/">Andrea Bargnani Award</a> (formerly known as the <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/s/songada01.html" target="_blank">Darius Songaila</a></strong> Award). What else is there to say about Bargnani? His performance this season was <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgPIX4bLJ4JldsMPiUSV7KHAWjLgaA1AKY_zX4on6fGiio157D6Uig21BiUFsiAhGATIdLnYFaEl7mkbSIz5Jfe6D39ufRU4D_SCrC7p6xRol97oWiCwB_2M7HgP570XqAjLGY0AmdGJ0YI/s320/bargnani_stats.png">so poor</a> that even Bryan Colangelo <a href="http://raptorsrepublic.com/2011/04/19/reality-has-finally-hit-bryan-colangelo/">seems like he's finally had enough</a>. I've spent <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/2010/11/another-bargnani-is-bust-post.html">so many words</a> on this subject that I really don't feel like I have anything new to add at this point, other than to point out the fact that he played even more poorly than I expected.<br />
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<b><u>Team 6th Man</u></b> - <i>This award is given to the Raptor who produced the most total wins while coming off the bench (fewer than 50% of games started).</i><br />
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<b><strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/d/davised01.html" target="_blank">Ed Davis</a></strong></b> finished 3rd on the team in wins - with 5.5 - and only started 17 out of the 65 games he played. Although I thought Davis would be a productive rookie, he exceeded my expectations. Of the 34 rookies who played 500 or more minutes this season, Davis finished with the <a href="http://dberri.wordpress.com/2011/04/15/the-regular-season-awards-wow-network-style/">5th most total wins</a> and was only one of six rookies to post better than average <a href="http://hickory-high.com/2011/04/18/individual-expected-scoring-final-regular-season-numbers/">expected scoring numbers</a>. Like most rookies, he'll have his work cut out for him on the <a href="http://arturogalletti.wordpress.com/2011/04/01/putting-things-together/">defensive end</a>, but it was still quite a positive rookie season for Davis.<br />
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<b><u>Team 12th Man</u></b> - <i>This award is given to the Raptor who produced the fewest total wins while coming off the bench </i><i>(fewer than 50% of games started)</i><i>.</i><br />
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<b><strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/b/barbole01.html" target="_blank">Leandro Barbosa</a></strong></b> produced the 3rd fewest wins on the team (at -0.6 wins) because - although he didn't start any games - he played 1392 minutes on the season (7th on the team). Technically <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/w/weemsso01.html" target="_blank">Sonny Weems</a></strong> should win this award, as he produced fewer wins and started only 47.5% of the games he played this season, but Weems was so much closer to the cut-off mark that I wanted to give this award to someone who was more of a bench player (and besides, Weems is going to get a much more "prestigious" award). Barbosa's story on the season is a familiar one for the Brazilian over the last couple of years; his shooting is very slightly above-average and he scores a lot of points, but unfortunately, like a lot of Raptors this season, he doesn't offer much else.<br />
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<b><u>Team MIP</u></b> - <i>This award is given to the Raptor who improved on their historical performance the most (as measured by total wins).</i><br />
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Earlier on in the season - before the injuries - it looked like <b><strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/e/evansre01.html" target="_blank">Reggie Evans</a></strong></b> was going to end up playing a decent amount of minutes this season. Actually, based on his preseason playing time, I changed his predicted playing time up to 1700 minutes - from the 762 minutes I predicted based on last season's numbers - and then Reggie ended up playing 795 minutes due to injuries. Go figure. Anyways, although Evans didn't play that many minutes, he stepped up his play quite a bit. The Regend improved his win totals by 2.9 wins, and, more importantly, his WP48 by 0.176. While Reggie has played well in the past, he has never played as well as he did this season. Why is Reggie so productive? Simple: the man rebounds at a historical level and <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/2011/03/regend-and-ninja-response-part-i.html">doesn't attempt to do what he can't</a>.<br />
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<b><u>Team LIP</u></b> - <i>This award is given to the Raptor who improved on their historical performance the least (as measured by total wins).</i><br />
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I expected a lot more out of <b><strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/w/weemsso01.html" target="_blank">Sonny Weems</a></strong></b> this season. Last year he was close to an average player (his WP48 was 0.073); this year his WP48 was -0.050, and he produced the second fewest wins on the team (and was 17th from the bottom league-wide). Based on his past performance, I expected Weems to produce 2.1 wins given the minutes he played this year, but in reality he ended up producing -1.5 wins. Last year Weems looked like a more promising prospect than DeMarr DeRozan; this year, while both players are significantly below average, Weems no longer offers anything that DeRozan - or anyone else, for that matter - cannot provide. As Weems is a free agent, it is unlikely that he will return, and for Raptors fans that is undoubtedly a good thing.<br />
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<b><u>Most Surprising Player</u></b> - <i>This award is given to the Raptor who was the most pleasant surprise </i><i>(cannot be the same player who won the MIP)</i><i>.</i><br />
<br />
When <b><strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/j/johnsja01.html" target="_blank">James Johnson</a></strong></b> came over from the Bulls in exchange for a late first-round draft pick, <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/2011/02/raptors-trade-another-pf.html">I did not expect him to be a very productive player</a>, but so far during his brief stint in Toronto, <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/2011/04/regend-and-ninja-response-part-ii.html">Johnson has been slightly above-average</a> and improved across the board. However, he still doesn't offer very much more than <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/w/wrighju01.html" target="_blank">Julian Wright</a></strong> - another player who is unlikely to return next season - and I still think that the trade was a waste of a first-round pick, which could potentially be used to <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/2011/02/raptors-trade-another-pf.html">draft a very useful player</a>. That being said, across his 698 minutes of play, he produced 1.6 wins - 2.3 more wins than I expected - and was the Raptor who surprised me the most.<br />
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<b><u>Most Disappointing Player</u></b> - <i>This award is given to the Raptor who was the most disappointing player (cannot be the same player who won the LIP).</i><br />
<br />
Back when <b><strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/k/kleizli01.html" target="_blank">Linas Kleiza</a></strong></b> played in Denver - before he went to play over in Europe - his WP48 was around 0.088 and he was close to an average player. Given that he had benefited from a year of European ball and was one year older, I was hoping that we'd see some improvement from him. Sadly, Kleiza <a href="http://www.talkbasket.net/news/the-truth-raptors-are-responsible-for-kleizas-injury-4058.html">struggled with injuries</a> all season long and never posted season win totals in the positive range. If Kleiza can get healthy, there is a good chance that he'll return to his nearly average self next season, but it's not likely that he'll ever be much more than an average player.<br />
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<b><u>Bang for the Buck Award</u></b> - <i>This award is given to the Raptor who produces the most wins per million dollars of salary (only players who do not have a rookie contract are eligible for this award)</i>.<br />
<br />
<b><strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/d/dorsejo01.html" target="_blank">Joey Dorsey</a></strong></b> produced 0.8 wins and had a $854 390 salary this season, which makes his wins/$million ratio 2.57 and also makes him the winner of this award. <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/d/davised01.html" target="_blank">Ed Davis</a></strong> (2.87) had a higher wins/$million, but he's still on his rookie contract. Dorsey was very productive when he played; here's hoping that he's back again next season, and may he play many of the minutes that would otherwise go to Bargnani!<br />
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<b><u>Black Hole Award</u></b> - <i>This award is given to the Raptor who passes the least relative to their position (fewest passes per touch - minimum 30 minutes played/game).</i><br />
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<b><strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/d/derozde01.html" target="_blank">DeMar DeRozan</a></strong></b> passed the ball on <a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/blog/?p=8847">36% of his touches this season</a>. Once we adjust for position, he ties for the 7th biggest black hole in the entire league! While Bargnani passed even less (28.5%), on average, shooting guards pass more often than centres and power forwards; relatively speaking, DeRozan (z-score of -1.35) passes less often than Bargnani (-0.73), and this is true whether or not we classify Bargnani as a centre or a power forward. Going forward, DeRozan will have to improve his passing, three-point shooting, and rebounding if he wants to become a productive player.<br />
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<b><u>Best Scorer</u></b> - <i>This award is given to the Raptor who has the highest True Shooting percentage (minimum 400 minutes played).</i><br />
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<b><strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/j/johnsam01.html" target="_blank">Amir Johnson</a></strong></b> is the Raptor who was the most productive shooter on the team. What really impressed me this year about Amir was his free-throw shooting; Johnson went from 63.8% last season to 78.8% this season. In addition, his time spent with assistant coach <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/e/englial01.html" target="_blank">Alex English</a></strong> also help to expand his range (although he should continue focus on shots closer to the basket, as those shots are more likely to go in). Johnson's TS% was 60.8%, and don't think that that was out of character for him; his career TS% is 61.6%. Whoever is coaching the team next season, it would be wise of them to put Johnson in a position to take additional efficient shots.<br />
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<b><u>Master of Disaster</u></b> -<i> This award is given to the Raptor who has the most turnovers per 48 minutes (minimum 400 minutes played).</i><br />
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<b><strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/b/bayleje01.html" target="_blank">Jerryd Bayless</a></strong></b> had the most turnovers per 48 minutes on the team this season, with 3.9. While his assist rate was pretty decent, Bayless is more of a combo-guard than a point guard, and is not a good replacement for Calderon at this point in his career. If you take into to consideration the amount of time Bayless had the ball in his hands, of course there are other players on the team who turned the ball over more often (Dorsey, Evans, Wright, Calderon, and <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/j/johnsja01.html" target="_blank">James Johnson</a></strong>), but hey, I'm trying to hand out awards to everyone on the team! I had to come up with <i>something </i>for Bayless!<br />
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<b><u>So Long and Thanks For All the Fish Award</u></b> - <i>This award is given to a useful Raptor who is not likely to return next season.</i><br />
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<b><strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/w/wrighju01.html" target="_blank">Julian Wright</a></strong></b> is a serviceable (WP48 0.098) and young (24 years old in May) forward who, before <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/j/johnsja01.html" target="_blank">James Johnson</a></strong> arrived, was getting a decent minutes as a backup. Well, once <strong><a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/j/johnsja01.html" target="_blank">James Johnson</a></strong> showed up, Wright was glued to the bench...so much so that when the time came for him to get off the bench and into the game, he decided that <a href="http://basketball.realgm.com/wiretap/212567/Julian_Wright_Refuses_To_Enter_Game">his glutei were accustomed to the feel of pine</a> and didn't want to play. If the Raptors were better at evaluating talent, they would've kept Miami's first round pick and simply re-signed Wright this off-season...but hey, the Raptors would have probably wasted the the pick anyways, as they <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/2010/11/ags-for-front-offices-audit-toronto.html">don't exactly have a stellar drafting record</a>.<br />
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I'll be working on some more end-of-season posts in the coming weeks. Next up will be a look at the more detailed team stats and how they compare to the rest of the league.<br />
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- DevinDDignamhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06508911795176535945noreply@blogger.com24tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1196014153540046218.post-5902636399184573832011-04-12T22:37:00.000-07:002011-04-12T22:51:25.554-07:00Fake Trades: Jazz EditionNew readers, please check out <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/p/basics.html">the basics</a> before leaving any comments.<br />
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<br />
Short post today.<br />
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For shits and giggles, I was playing around on the ESPN NBA Trade Machine, which is what happens when your favourite team has been out of the playoff picture since December. Unfortunately, now isn't the best time to be fiddling around with it - as many contracts can't be traded at the moment - but it's still fun.<br />
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I was looking at the Jazz as a trading partner for the Raptors. Why? Well, since the Deron Williams trade, it looks like the Jazz are trying to move in a new direction (aka blow it all up). They still have plenty of good players, including some up-and-comers, and thus are ripe for the picking.<br />
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<a name='more'></a><br />
Who are the members of the Jazz that I would target? The following good players:<br />
<ul><li>Al Jefferson</li>
<li>Paul Millsap</li>
<li>Derrick Favors</li>
<li>Jeremy Evans</li>
</ul><div>Al Jefferson is my least wanted player on this list because of his salary, and possibly injury concerns. He produces about as many wins as Millsap, but on the plus side, Jefferson can also play Centre and his raw productivity is better. Millsap is nice and cheap, as well as dependable. Favors and Evans are promising rookies who have played well in limited minutes. Favors is probably the one who's harder to get, but Evans has actually had a better season (again, in limited minutes).</div><div><br />
</div><div>I'd also target the following players for cap purposes:</div><div><ul><li>Mehmet Okur</li>
<li>Raja Bell</li>
</ul><div>Okur is getting old (he'll be 32 in May) and hasn't played much this season (only 13 games), which leads me to believe that the Jazz will be open to moving his contract. Speaking of his contract, Okur is on the books for $10.89 million next season, after which his contract expires.</div></div><div><br />
</div><div>Raja Bell is old and unproductive. The only reason anyone should be considering including him in any trades is if they need his salary to make a deal work. On the plus side, he's only got two years and a total of $6.7 million left on his deal.</div><div><br />
</div><div>Why not take a look some potential deals? Of course, by the time the season is over, some of these deals might not be possible...but hey, I'm the kind of guy who likes pointless exercises. Here are two trades that are currently valid:</div><div><br />
</div><div><ul><li><a href="http://games.espn.go.com/nba/tradeMachine?tradeId=6xzce6q">Toronto trades Bargnani, DeRozan, and Kleiza to the Jazz for Mehmet Okur, Raja Bell, and Jeremy Evans</a></li>
</ul><div>Bargnani for Okur is strictly a way to get rid of Bargnani and his highly <a href="http://nerdnumbers.com/seasons">unproductive play</a>. As a bonus, perhaps Okur might recover from his injuries and actually be an upgrade at the Centre position for one season. Don't believe me? Let's compare Okur's career averages with Bargnani's. First Bargnani:</div></div><div><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgPIX4bLJ4JldsMPiUSV7KHAWjLgaA1AKY_zX4on6fGiio157D6Uig21BiUFsiAhGATIdLnYFaEl7mkbSIz5Jfe6D39ufRU4D_SCrC7p6xRol97oWiCwB_2M7HgP570XqAjLGY0AmdGJ0YI/s1600/bargnani_stats.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="254" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgPIX4bLJ4JldsMPiUSV7KHAWjLgaA1AKY_zX4on6fGiio157D6Uig21BiUFsiAhGATIdLnYFaEl7mkbSIz5Jfe6D39ufRU4D_SCrC7p6xRol97oWiCwB_2M7HgP570XqAjLGY0AmdGJ0YI/s320/bargnani_stats.png" width="320" /></a></div><div><br />
</div><div>Yuck. And now Okur:</div><div><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgtj4GfFCCFGc35pitt9jfRdspfqYP-4mqXWnp0mNGJRl6PG7nXQYIpW5qFKH0MRqt5uiTKi1htq9sQ0S1WeWi_zKuUtDNRUDGLEm_5KGRCq_OkQIlrcf_6VzL46Yk4s-4pDQjuRmZlQUHw/s1600/okur_stats.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="304" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgtj4GfFCCFGc35pitt9jfRdspfqYP-4mqXWnp0mNGJRl6PG7nXQYIpW5qFKH0MRqt5uiTKi1htq9sQ0S1WeWi_zKuUtDNRUDGLEm_5KGRCq_OkQIlrcf_6VzL46Yk4s-4pDQjuRmZlQUHw/s320/okur_stats.png" width="320" /></a></div><div><br />
</div><div>Remember, his stats from this season are only based on 13 games (and 168 total minutes). Okur is absolutely better than Bargnani; even his terrible, small-sample-sized stats from this season are comparable to Bargnani's <b><i>career </i></b>averages! Anyways, the real reason behind the exchange is to get rid of Bargnani's contract, and Okur's deal comes off the books at the end of next season. If Okur offers anything at all, that would be a bonus.</div><div><br />
</div><div>The other four players can be seen as the other half of the trade; Kleiza and Bell are salary cap ballasts. While there is a chance that Kleiza may return to his old form next season, his old form was only around average. Bell is clearly done, but his deal is much smaller and has fewer years on it. The real pieces of this half of the trade would be DeRozan and Evans. DeRozan, despite the hype, <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/2011/03/no-no-no-demar-derozan-is-not-mip.html">has not actually improved this season</a>, and I'm not anticipating a huge improvement next year (although it certainly could come out of the blue). Evans, on the other hand, is a <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/2011/02/rookie-challenge-rosters.html">very promising young rookie</a>.</div><div><br />
</div><div><ul><li><a href="http://games.espn.go.com/nba/tradeMachine?tradeId=66loun4">Toronto trades Bargnani, DeRozan, Calderon, and Kleiza to the Jazz for Okur, Jefferson, and Jeremy Evans</a>.</li>
<li>And, in a separate transaction, <a href="http://games.espn.go.com/nba/tradeMachine?tradeId=3jjmqts">Utah trades Derrick Favours to Toronto, who uses the Chris Bosh trade exception to absorb the contract</a>.</li>
</ul><div>This one leaves the Raptors without a starting calibre PG, but the deal would save the team a lot of money and adds some <i>truly </i>promising young players - as opposed to the mostly unpromising young players that currently fill the roster. The only question about this deal is...would the Jazz go for it? Probably not, because not only would they be trading away their two most promising young players, but they'd also be trading away the only two Centres who will be on the roster once the season ends. Oh well - it's fun to dream.</div></div><div><br />
</div><div>And at this point, as Raptors' fans, isn't that all we have left?</div><div><br />
</div><div><br />
</div><div> - Devin</div><div><br />
</div>DDignamhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06508911795176535945noreply@blogger.com4tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1196014153540046218.post-91067643874264241492011-04-07T19:08:00.000-07:002011-04-07T19:08:39.725-07:00NBA Today and rebuilding the RaptorsNew readers, please check out <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/p/basics.html">the basics</a> before leaving any comments.<br />
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<br />
Mosi Platt of the <a href="http://miami-heat-index.blogspot.com/">Miami Heat Index</a> sent me a link to a recent <a href="http://sports.espn.go.com/espnradio/player?id=6289912">NBA Today podcast</a> where (starting at around the 27th minute) Ryen Russillo talks about how to rebuild the Raptors. Mosi wanted to hear my thoughts on Russillo's comments about the Raptors, and so I sent him a quick email reply.<br />
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I've expanded on my brief thoughts below. Each of my comments is made in response to something that Ryen Russillo said on the podcast; Russillo's comments are italicized.<br />
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<a name='more'></a><br />
<i>The Raptors have no good pieces (maybe only Cleveland is as bad). Who are the core guys? DeRozan ("improved") and Ed Davis ("better than I thought"). Bargnani ("not a good contract"). Amir Johnson ("will always be a backup - fouls a ton").</i><br />
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</i><br />
I disagree. DeRozan has not been productive, but his perceived value is high in the league, and I'm sure he could fetch the Raps something pretty. Ed Davis has had a good rookie season (<a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/2010/08/projections-for-2010-11-nba-season.html">as expected</a>), and should improve going forward. Joey Dorsey is a good - and cheap - big man. Amir Johnson has played well (again, as expected), is signed to a <a href="http://hickory-high.com/2011/02/24/amir-johnson/">very reasonable deal</a>, and <i>will be turning 24 on May 1st</i>. If that's not the definition of a good piece, then the NBA has <i>very </i>few good pieces. And, of course, there is the Raptors' high first round lottery pick in this year's draft.<br />
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<i>Raptors announcers (as are other NBA announcers) are brutal homers.</i><br />
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Totally, 100% agree. I can't stand listening to the games ever since Chuck Swirsky <a href="http://www.thestar.com/Sports/article/422119">left to do radio work</a> for the Chicago Bulls. Matt Devlin is boring, has no catchphrases, and seems like he doesn't understand basketball. Swirsky was also a homer, but at least he was an <i>interesting </i>homer who had personality and seemed like he cared about the team. While this may be nostalgia rearing its ugly head, I remember Jack Armstrong being less useless in the past; nowadays he seems like a Yes-man who simply parrots all of Bryan Colangelo's talking points. Sadly, it has come to the point where Leo Rautins is the most palatable Raptors' commentator. And let's not even talk about the fact that Raptors' games are spread across four channels -some of which aren't on standard cable packages. It's no wonder that some fans have had to resort to watching games online.<br />
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<i>Not much cap space ($49 Million, not counting #4 pick). Bad contracts: Calderon and Bargnani. Raps "don't need" Calderon.</i><br />
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Bargnani has an indisputably bad contract, but <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/p/2010-11-raptor-season-stats.html">Calderon is still valuable</a> - overpaid, but valuable; I wouldn't just give Calderon away. Calderon's backup, Jerryd Bayless, fluctuates wildly and tends towards the suck end of the spectrum, so if Calderon is to be traded, it would be smart of the Raptors to pick up another usable PG. The team's <a href="http://hoopshype.com/salaries/toronto.htm">cap situation</a> isn't terrible, but it's not perfect either; getting rid of Barbosa (who's bound to pick up his option) and Bargnani would save the team $16.6 million.<br />
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<i>Toronto is not a destination for NBA players.</i><br />
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I agree - it seems like NBA players don't want to come to Toronto. Now, other than the fact that the franchise has been a joke, why would anyone <i>not </i>want to play in Toronto? Toronto is the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_North_American_cities_by_population">5th largest city in North America</a> and the only Canadian city with an NBA franchise - the marketing potential is huge. The city is a world-class city, host to many national and international events, and has tons of stuff to do. Canada is a much better country to live in than the US (even my American girlfriend agrees with that statement); the standard of living is higher, life expectancies are higher, and there's less poverty....if American players are concerned about the tax rate, they're nuts. Players don't even have to maintain their primary residence in the city if they don't want to! European players seem to have no problem with Toronto as a destination. Are American players concerned about <a href="http://www.slamonline.com/online/nba/2010/11/chris-bosh-couldnt-get-good-cable-in-toronto/">not having "the good cable"</a>, worried about encountering <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Curling">Curling</a> while channel-surfing, or having to slog through the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/When_Flanders_Failed#Cultural_references">CFL draft</a>? Are they worried about their <a href="http://www.cbc.ca/sports/story/2001/05/25/davis010525.html">children learning the Canadian anthem and the metric system</a> instead of the American equivalents? Or perhaps about the "cold weather" in Toronto? Whatever it is, I think that if the Raptors turn things around for a sustained period of time, this whole conversation will become moot, because players like to play for winners.<br />
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<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhOmXzzqxgDs_RsB3IBAtSUilsqaYPGK71pdMy8Arnyxzk5YEW4zDeMRd7DiBGFj2cQitgd1Zynkjkv1kOZJwpzpkIMvx_ngcQgwTfr5s4j2T_xltIpPMY3BnWldN3qvjfApohX0AXB_Fs5/s1600/tor_min_climate.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="207" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhOmXzzqxgDs_RsB3IBAtSUilsqaYPGK71pdMy8Arnyxzk5YEW4zDeMRd7DiBGFj2cQitgd1Zynkjkv1kOZJwpzpkIMvx_ngcQgwTfr5s4j2T_xltIpPMY3BnWldN3qvjfApohX0AXB_Fs5/s400/tor_min_climate.png" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">For the record, I'd take Toronto over Minneapolis every single time</td></tr>
</tbody></table><br />
<i>Greg Oden in Toronto? No, because of cap space.</i><br />
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Greg Oden is exactly the type of player that Toronto has to go after during free agency. Toronto is a crappy team, most prominent players probably aren't going to want to play there, and so the Raps have to take calculated risks. Greg Oden is one such risk. He's a young player - still 23 - who's been very effective when he's been on the court. He's also a Centre, which is a very important position. Of course, the downside is that he's always injured and he might be one serious injury away from retirement (sweet deal - where can I sign up for that?). But as long as the Raptors pull a Dallas and sign a relatively dependable backup at the same, Oden has a decent chance of being a difference-maker next season (assume that there are games next season). If Toronto's crafty enough, cap space won't be a problem.<br />
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<i>Bryan Colangelo: "he's done a good job, not a great job", "don't care either way if he's back".</i><br />
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No. <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/2010/11/ags-for-front-offices-audit-toronto.html">Bryan Colangelo has not done a good job</a>; every major move he's made has failed. While many of the minor deals he's made have been good ones, the good has not been nearly enough to make up for the bad, and there has been no semblance of a plan or a philosophy during his time with the team. It would be best for the franchise if they let Colangelo walk and find a cheaper, less-heralded GM, preferably one with a history of success. But, failing that, I'm available for a reasonable price.<br />
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<i>Hibbert for O'Neal - "bad trade, but reasonable at the time".</i><br />
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Definitely a bad trade, but not one that should have seemed reasonable at the time; I was not a fan of the deal when it happened, and actually, I wouldn't have traded O'Neal <i>straight up</i> for Hibbert, let alone included T.J. Ford and Rasho Nesterovic in the deal. And I'm <a href="http://dberri.wordpress.com/2008/07/01/the-other-side-of-the-indiana-toronto-trade/">not the only one</a> who didn't like the trade at the time.<br />
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<i>Jay Triano "won't and shouldn't come back". Get a new coach who will "bust some skulls" - Lawrence Frank.</i><br />
<br />
Jay Triano has not wowed me - his decisions on who should get playing time have been poor all season long. However, such is the case with most NBA coaches, so I really can't get too upset about it. What I can get upset about, however, is that he seems to be <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/2011/03/jay-triano-raps-seventh-or-eighth-best.html">ignorant about "advanced" basketball statistics</a> - and by "advanced", I mean relatively simple concepts like True Shooting percentage, which is a shooting percentage that takes into account the extra value of threes and free throws. I'm sure there are better coaches out there somewhere, but the questions are, will they be willing to coach Toronto, and how much will they cost? Triano's big plus is that he's cheap. If the team is going to hire someone who is a typical NBA coach, it might as well hire someone like Triano who doesn't cost very much. I wouldn't mind going after a guy like Jeff Van Gundy or Lawrence Frank, but only if the price is right. Given all this - despite my lack of confidence in his coaching - I don't really care if Triano's back or not.<br />
<br />
As far as defensive-minded/offensive-minded goes, as a bad team, I think the Raptors would be better with a defensive-minded coach. On average, bad teams...are bad. This means that, as the tempo increases, the likelihood of the bad team being beaten by a better team increases due to a larger sample size (more possessions). Defensive coaches tend to slow down the tempo, and this gives crappier teams a better chance of pulling out an undeserved victory.<br />
<br />
<br />
<i>You can't have Bargnani playing 30mins a night - bad D guy on a bad D team - trade him? But that's hard to do, because who knows what other teams think of Bargnani. Biedrins? Lamar Odom? Zach Randolph? Elton Brand? Iguodala? Al Jefferson?</i><br />
<br />
Yes, what to do with <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/2010/11/another-bargnani-is-bust-post.html">Bargnani</a>? If I could get any of those players in a trade for Bargnani, I would (although Elton Brand is a bit iffy given his contract, so the rest of the players in the deal would be important). Bargnani <i>must </i>be traded. The question is, who will take him? I'd be willing to trade him away for <i>any </i>contract that is either less money per year, or shorter than his deal. I repeat: <i>any </i>contract. If I could get any useful players out of it, that would be a bonus, but really, just getting rid of him would be a victory.<br />
<br />
<br />
<i>Trade Bargnani and #4 pick for Steve Nash and Gortat? Ryen says Toronto should say no. But Canadians would love to have Nash on the team. "I don't know if Phoenix would do it".</i><br />
<br />
Yes, yes, a thousand times yes! That would be an amazing trade for Toronto, and I'd do it in a second. Gortat is a very good and relatively young Centre. Nash is old, but still really good and signed at a reasonable price; plus, he's Canadian and really, really fun to watch. I'd do this immediately. Unfortunately, there's no way in hell that Phoenix would do this trade, and I suspect that current Toronto management wouldn't do the trade either (as obsessed with "youth" and "potential" as they are). While Nash might not want to leave Phoenix either, if he's going to be on a crappy non-playoff team, perhaps he might rather be in Canada? Of course, if I was Nash, I wouldn't want to play for a crappy organization like the Raptors, so who knows.<br />
<br />
<br />
<i>The Bosh Trade Exception "is useless".</i><br />
<br />
I disagree. It might come in handy during the summer, perhaps when some team is looking to shed a big contract. Maybe one of the team's bigger contracts (Calderon, Bargani, and Barbosa) can be combined with the $12 million left in the trade exception to nab a great player? Maybe the Hawks get tired of mediocrity and decide to cut costs - I'd take Al Horford or Josh Smith off their hands for them (but you couldn't convince me to touch the Joe Johnson stinker). What about the Mavs? Mark Cuban is going on record as saying that he'll blow the team up once he realizes that the team isn't going anywhere. After another disappointing playoffs this year, maybe he pulls the plug, and Chandler or Nowitzki are available? The Cavs might be looking to trade Varejao away - sure he's coming off an injury, but those are the types of gambles you have to make.<br />
<br />
<br />
- DevinDDignamhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06508911795176535945noreply@blogger.com17tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1196014153540046218.post-57962968752297112412011-04-02T02:59:00.000-07:002011-04-02T02:59:21.294-07:00The Regend and the Ninja: A Response (part II)New readers, please check out <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/p/basics.html">the basics</a> before leaving any comments.<br />
<div><br />
<br />
On Saturday, Tom Liston of <a href="http://raptorsrepublic.com/">Raptors Republic</a> - TrueHoop's Raptors' affiliate - <a href="http://raptorsrepublic.com/2011/03/27/statophile-volume-17-the-regend-and-the-ninja-edition/">wrote a column about Reggie Evans and James Johnson</a>. In his column, Tom mentions that he has some problems with Wins Produced and my analysis of Evans and Johnson in the past. Specifically, Tom's main issues seem to be:<br />
<ul><li>Evans' WP48 is near the top of the league (currently at 0.356), but Reggie doesn't seem to belong with the other players (Kevin Love, Dwight Howard, Chris Paul, LeBron James, Dwayne Wade) at the top.</li>
<li>If Wins Produced doesn't overvalue rebounds, and the only thing Evans' does well is rebound, why is Evans' WP48 so high?</li>
<li>James Johnson is playing well in Toronto - "he’s pretty much exactly the same player" as he was during his rookie season. So why <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/2011/02/raptors-trade-another-pf.html">did I say that he probably wouldn't be a good player</a> when Toronto traded for him?</li>
<li>Wins Produced is one measure of player productivity among several, and one should "never rely on one metric to draw conclusions".</li>
</ul><br />
<a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/2011/03/regend-and-ninja-response-part-i.html">The other day I responded to these first two points</a>. Today I'm going to tackle the last two.<br />
<a name='more'></a><br />
<br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit; font-size: large;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;">Why is James Johnson better than I said he'd be?</span></span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: inherit; font-size: large;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><br />
</span></span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;">To answer this, first we have to know how well he played before he was traded to Toronto. Even though I don't see any point in using the non-WP metrics, here's a table that uses Win Score, WP, Win Shares/48, PER, and Adj+/- to examine Johnson's productivity over his career to date:<br />
</span><br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjoan3nUagJmZbFqp4hkynCVTN2gXTSbPt7xzewqxGB5JE67s3h8E3AZ0NcA2WgIVEY2B4hwukZhGPemfWyO2A3aZdFsF3ytcagn3wqniJPSTXw-cLs2tt3nn26tnYwZpakZrqapjb9WUp5/s1600/ninja_metrics.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="121" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjoan3nUagJmZbFqp4hkynCVTN2gXTSbPt7xzewqxGB5JE67s3h8E3AZ0NcA2WgIVEY2B4hwukZhGPemfWyO2A3aZdFsF3ytcagn3wqniJPSTXw-cLs2tt3nn26tnYwZpakZrqapjb9WUp5/s400/ninja_metrics.png" width="400" /></a></span></div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;">So did James Johnson play well before he got to Toronto? No. According to WP and Win Score, Johnson was </span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;">was barely positive in 2009-10 i</span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;">f we consider him a <i>pure </i>small forward - which he wasn't while he played in Chicago. PER, WS/48 and Adj+/- all say that he was below-average. His time in Chicago this season was also clearly terrible - according to WP and Win Score, Johnson actually cost his team wins. PER, WS/48, and Adj+/- all tell the same story. So it's pretty well established: according to every major productivity metric (and the eyes over in Chicago), James Johnson did not play well before he arrived in Toronto.</span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><br />
</span><br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;">However, after he arrived in Toronto, Johnson has played well. Or has he? A good first step would be to take a look at his specific statistics:</span><br />
</span><br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhrcd2Gg0ekk0aeNehTAxjoWRZj7rUaqou4MOKm-4Dot0hKoI4NhA8LnDkzVfUDCu1qt6AJ8VlZgxUMxZQH4_gIaLGN5HLjb3jhyrGky-bNKaDdwFmlZcIK4hjTKOZqEZXeVJpWtLZ08X7j/s1600/ninja_seasons.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="291" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhrcd2Gg0ekk0aeNehTAxjoWRZj7rUaqou4MOKm-4Dot0hKoI4NhA8LnDkzVfUDCu1qt6AJ8VlZgxUMxZQH4_gIaLGN5HLjb3jhyrGky-bNKaDdwFmlZcIK4hjTKOZqEZXeVJpWtLZ08X7j/s400/ninja_seasons.png" width="400" /></a></span></div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;">He has, and we can also see why he was so terrible in Chicago. For one, his foul rate was disgusting, and that has almost dropped down to the average rate for SFs. His turnovers were not very good, but have improved in Toronto. His blocks have always been excellent, so not much has changed there. Compared to last season, </span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;">Johnson has improved with respect to rebounding, assists, and steals (in both Toronto and Chicago). While his field goal shooting has slightly improved in Toronto, once we take into account free throw attempts and percentage, Johnson is shooting about as well as he did during his rookie season. We'll have to assume that his poor shooting in Chicago this year was a result of a small sample size. Put it all together, and Johnson is playing at an above average rate in Toronto - somewhere around a <a href="http://nerdnumbers.com/seasons">WP48 of 0.160</a>.</span><br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"> </span><br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;">So, short answer as to why he's playing better in Toronto: less fouls, more extra possessions, and more assists.</span><br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"> </span><br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;">But wait - let's take a look at his first table again. For your convenience, I'll repost it below:</span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><br />
</span></span><br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjoan3nUagJmZbFqp4hkynCVTN2gXTSbPt7xzewqxGB5JE67s3h8E3AZ0NcA2WgIVEY2B4hwukZhGPemfWyO2A3aZdFsF3ytcagn3wqniJPSTXw-cLs2tt3nn26tnYwZpakZrqapjb9WUp5/s1600/ninja_metrics.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="121" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjoan3nUagJmZbFqp4hkynCVTN2gXTSbPt7xzewqxGB5JE67s3h8E3AZ0NcA2WgIVEY2B4hwukZhGPemfWyO2A3aZdFsF3ytcagn3wqniJPSTXw-cLs2tt3nn26tnYwZpakZrqapjb9WUp5/s400/ninja_metrics.png" width="400" /></a></span></span></span></div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;">According to Win Shares per 48 minutes - the measure used over at <a href="http://basketball-reference.com/">Basketball-Reference.com</a> - Johnson hasn't improved, even though he's fouling less, adding more possessions, and getting more assists. PER, on the other hand, says that Johnson has improved, but is still below average...even though he's clearly above average in most categories. And Adjusted +/-...well, ADJ+/- says that Johnson is playing his best basketball right now, but it also says that his best season in Chicago was this season - not last season - which is pretty odd. Perhaps that's because ADJ+/- is, as <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/2011/03/nerd-numbers-guest-post-regend.html">Andres has said</a> (and <a href="http://arturogalletti.wordpress.com/2011/03/04/deconstructing-a-model/">Arturo</a> and <a href="http://arturogalletti.wordpress.com/2011/03/30/an-apm-primerbleg/">Alex Konkel</a> have shown), about as good as Tarot readings or Horoscopes. On the other hand, Win Score and Wins Produced seem to follow the numbers (odd, innit?).</span></span><br />
</span></span><br />
<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><img alt="Borat meme" height="320" src="http://images.memegenerator.net/Borat-meme/File/238586/Borat-meme.jpg" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" width="274" /></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">At least I have the right actor</td></tr>
</tbody></table><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;">So what does that say about the various methods of measuring basketball productivity?</span><br />
<ul><li><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;">WS/48 is suspect because it can't even tell that Johnson has played better in Toronto.</span></span></span></span></li>
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;">
<li><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;">ADJ+/- is suspect because it thinks that Johnson's best season in Chicago was this season.</span></li>
<li><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;">PER is suspect because it <a href="http://dberri.wordpress.com/2006/11/17/a-comment-on-the-player-efficiency-rating/">overvalues taking shots</a> and still thinks Johnson is a below-average player.</span></li>
</span></span></span></ul><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;">And that is why we should <i>not </i>consider all the different metrics - not all of them are useful. ADJ+/- has huge errors and needs multiple years to find out anything (and even that has little meaning). PER is obsessed with players who take lots of shots and undervalues those who make contributions without making any mistakes. Win Shares is better than ADJ+/- and PER, but basically it is a watered down Wins Produced. None of these metrics improve on Wins Produced, nor do they add any additional information that Wins Produced doesn't consider.</span></span></span></span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><br />
</span></span></span></span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;">So, to recap:</span></span></span></span></div><div><ul><li><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;">James Johnson was bad in Chicago.</span></span></span></span></li>
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;">
<li><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;">Johnson is playing much better in Toronto.</span></li>
<li><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;">ADJ+/-, PER, and WS/48 are all suspect and don't help to inform us beyond Wins Produced (they are actually less informative).</span></li>
</span></span></span></ul><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><br />
</span></span></span></span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><br />
</span></span></span></span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;">Answer the Question!</span></span></span></span></span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><br />
</span></span></span></span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;">But wait! I still haven't answered an important question: I said that James Johnson wasn't going to be good in Toronto, but he has been. Why was I wrong?</span></span></span></span></div></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><br />
</span></span></span></span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;">It all has to do with my method of predicting future performance and the nature of young NBA players. When I said that Johnson probably wasn't going to be productive in Toronto, my reasoning was this: he hadn't been good and he's relatively old. Most players are who they are once they hit 25, and Johnson had just turned 24. But young players can always see unpredictable peaks or valleys in their productivity. Johnson was a young player who improved significantly in a new situation, and such things are not only unpredictable now, but are likely to remain unpredictable forever. How was I (or <a href="http://espn.go.com/nba/player/hollinger/_/id/3999/james-johnson">anyone else</a>) to know that Johnson would improve his rebounding by more than a rebound per 48 minutes? Or reduce his foul rate from 8.0 per 48 minutes to 4.8 per 48 minutes? The only remotely reliable way we can predict the future is to extrapolate trends from the past. Young players have fewer data points and fluctuate more than veteran players. Similarly, veteran players who suffer (or recover) from significant injuries are unpredictable. How were we supposed to know that Udonis Haslem would miss the entire season due to injury? How were we supposed to know that Elton Brand would finally - after three years - start returning to his old standard of play? How were we to know that Wilson Chandler would leave David Lee such a wonderful parting gift?</span></span></span></span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><br />
</span></span></span></span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;">My inability to predict the future says nothing about the validity of Wins Produced. Wins Produced is a descriptive number, not a predictive number; it can only describe performance that has already happened and provide clues towards future performance. I would also note that the same thing is true for ADJ+/-, PER, and WS/48.</span></span></span></span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><br />
</span></span></span></span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;">Even though I've been quite impressed with Johnson's play so far, I'm still not totally okay with the trade. Why? Johnson, although better than I expected, still isn't much better than Julian Wright. Who's Julian Wright? He's that guy who has been sitting on the bench (occasionally <a href="http://probasketballtalk.nbcsports.com/2011/03/27/julian-wright-refuses-to-enter-game-for-raptors-apologizes/">of his own accord</a>) ever since Johnson arrived - and who is unlikely to return next season. Here are Wright's specific stats:</span></span></span></span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><br />
</span></span></span></span></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhmfgcJHsQwZdCztp9tcv8oLpERlHYWIydUhr2-klafFgwmlLZzAxvoZu1FL3b80YOgzqduSkywYNtRsPdvYM9NOcOuDYQnWO8veW_sR8jwzHXvp0Nv0eF7_DUfmdPVs0rwNE-uCeVkI62D/s1600/julian_wright_seasons.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="291" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhmfgcJHsQwZdCztp9tcv8oLpERlHYWIydUhr2-klafFgwmlLZzAxvoZu1FL3b80YOgzqduSkywYNtRsPdvYM9NOcOuDYQnWO8veW_sR8jwzHXvp0Nv0eF7_DUfmdPVs0rwNE-uCeVkI62D/s400/julian_wright_seasons.png" width="400" /></a></span></span></span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><br />
</span></span></span></span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;">Wright's had a better career than Johnson, and even though he's played two more seasons than Johnson, Wright's actually younger by a couple of months. Both are similar players - both can't shoot, although Johnson seems to be better in that department overall - and both can play SF and PF. Both are athletic and good at blocking shots, although Johnson is better there as well. Wright is better at steals, fouls, turnovers, and Johnson has been better at rebounding and assists this season. Overall, Johnson has been better while in Toronto, but only time will tell if this will continue. In any case, I don't feel that the possibly slight upgrade from Wright to Johnson was worth a late first round draft pick. As I've pointed out <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/2011/02/champions-and-drafted-players.html">many times before</a>, draft picks are very valuable. There is almost always a very good player <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/2011/02/raptors-trade-another-pf.html">waiting for you</a> in the late first round, and every additional draft pick you have is another chance at hitting it big. The Raptors could have retained the draft pick and re-signed Wright on the cheap during the off-season - at minimal cost. That would've given the Raps another chance at drafting a good player...although <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/2010/11/ags-for-front-offices-audit-toronto.html">the Raptors seem to have trouble identifying talent in the draft</a>.</span></span></span></span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><br />
</span></span></span></span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;">If Johnson continues to improve - and there are no Rodmans, Ginobilis, Boozers, or Fields available to Chicago with that late first round pick - I will admit that I was wrong. Luckily, it will only take a season or two to find out!</span></span></span></span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><br />
</span></span></span></span></div><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"> - Devin</span></span></span></span></div></div>DDignamhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06508911795176535945noreply@blogger.com3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1196014153540046218.post-35807934828396169102011-03-30T02:14:00.000-07:002011-03-30T02:14:38.099-07:00Nerd Numbers Guest Post: The Regend ContinuesNew readers, please read <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/p/basics.html">the basics</a> before leaving any comments.<br />
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I'll have part two of my response to Tom Liston of Raptors Republic up shortly, but in the meantime, <a href="http://nerdnumbers.com/">Andres Alvarez</a> - the currently blogless nomad of the Wages of Wins Network, and the man who created the automated WP site - has graciously offered some additional commentary on Reggie Evans.<br />
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Here's what Nerd Numbers has to say (with very slight editorial changes):<br />
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A common theme in Nuggets history (I'm a Nuggets fan) is to let good rebounders go and get very little back. A common theme in Raptors history is to have good players arrive who then underperform. In the case of Reggie Evans only half of that is true.<br />
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</div><div><div style="background-color: transparent;"><table id="internal-source-marker_0.6642013557720929" style="border-bottom-style: none; border-collapse: collapse; border-color: initial; border-left-style: none; border-right-style: none; border-top-style: none; border-width: initial;"><colgroup><col width="228"></col><col width="104"></col><col width="77"></col><col width="91"></col><col width="108"></col><col width="80"></col></colgroup><tbody>
<tr style="height: 0px;"><td style="background-color: #555555; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 8px; vertical-align: middle;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: white; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">Player</span></td><td style="background-color: #555555; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 8px; vertical-align: middle;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: white; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">Team</span></td><td style="background-color: #555555; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 8px; vertical-align: middle;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: white; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">Pos</span></td><td style="background-color: #555555; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 8px; vertical-align: middle;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: white; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">MP</span></td><td style="background-color: #555555; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 8px; vertical-align: middle;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: white; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">WP48</span></td><td style="background-color: #555555; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 8px; vertical-align: middle;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: white; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">WP</span></td></tr>
<tr style="height: 0px;"><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">Jose Calderon</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">TOR</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">1.0</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">2048</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">0.191</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">8.1</span></td></tr>
<tr style="height: 0px;"><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">Amir Johnson</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">TOR</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">4.0</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">1751</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">0.173</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">6.3</span></td></tr>
<tr style="height: 0px;"><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">Ed Davis</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">TOR</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">4.8</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">1298</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">0.187</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">5.1</span></td></tr>
<tr style="height: 0px;"><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">Reggie Evans</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">TOR</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">4.0</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">611</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">0.356</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">4.5</span></td></tr>
<tr style="height: 0px;"><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">Joey Dorsey</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">TOR</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">4.7</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">428</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">0.196</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">1.7</span></td></tr>
<tr style="height: 0px;"><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">Julian Wright</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">TOR</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">3.3</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">648</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">0.114</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">1.5</span></td></tr>
<tr style="height: 0px;"><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">James Johnson</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">TOR</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">3.1</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">418</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">0.155</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">1.3</span></td></tr>
<tr style="height: 0px;"><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">Jerryd Bayless</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">TOR</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">1.5</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">1023</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">0.059</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">1.3</span></td></tr>
<tr style="height: 0px;"><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">Peja Stojakovic</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">TOR</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">2.8</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">22</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">0.557</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">0.3</span></td></tr>
<tr style="height: 0px;"><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">Jarrett Jack</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">TOR</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">1.3</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">347</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">0.023</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">0.2</span></td></tr>
<tr style="height: 0px;"><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">David Andersen</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">TOR</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">5.0</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">150</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">0.040</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">0.1</span></td></tr>
<tr style="height: 0px;"><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">Ronald Dupree</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">TOR</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">3.1</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">13</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">-0.114</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">0.0</span></td></tr>
<tr style="height: 0px;"><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">Alexis Ajinca</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">TOR</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">4.5</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">160</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">-0.009</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">0.0</span></td></tr>
<tr style="height: 0px;"><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">Marcus Banks</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">TOR</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">1.0</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">22</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">-0.160</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">-0.1</span></td></tr>
<tr style="height: 0px;"><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">Linas Kleiza</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">TOR</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">2.5</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">1032</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">-0.009</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">-0.2</span></td></tr>
<tr style="height: 0px;"><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">Sundiata Gaines</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">TOR</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">1.5</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">89</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">-0.106</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">-0.2</span></td></tr>
<tr style="height: 0px;"><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">Solomon Alabi</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">TOR</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">5.0</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">40</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">-0.332</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">-0.3</span></td></tr>
<tr style="height: 0px;"><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">Trey Johnson</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">TOR</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">1.9</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">81</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">-0.170</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">-0.3</span></td></tr>
<tr style="height: 0px;"><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">DeMar DeRozan</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">TOR</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">2.7</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">2495</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">-0.012</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">-0.6</span></td></tr>
<tr style="height: 0px;"><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">Leandro Barbosa</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">TOR</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">1.5</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">1322</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">-0.028</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">-0.8</span></td></tr>
<tr style="height: 0px;"><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">Sonny Weems</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">TOR</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">2.5</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">1304</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">-0.054</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">-1.5</span></td></tr>
<tr style="height: 0px;"><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">Andrea Bargnani</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">TOR</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">4.8</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">2313</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">-0.119</span></td><td style="background-color: white; border-bottom-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-bottom-style: dotted; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-left-style: dotted; border-left-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-right-style: dotted; border-right-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(170, 170, 170); border-top-style: dotted; border-top-width: 1px; padding-bottom: 9px; padding-left: 10px; padding-right: 10px; padding-top: 9px; vertical-align: top;"><span style="background-color: transparent; color: #333333; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;">-5.8</span></td></tr>
</tbody></table><br />
Table 1: Raptors Numbers for 2011 through March 28th</div></div><div><br />
On a per minute basis, Reggie Evans is playing at a similar production level of some of the top players in the league. There are a few drawbacks. As Devin <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/2011/03/regend-and-ninja-response-part-i.html">pointed out</a>, he’s a one trick pony. What’s more is he’s older and has struggled with injury. I wouldn’t hang my hat on Reggie Evans to save the flailing Toronto Raptors, but I would be happy he’s helped out.<br />
<br />
Tom Liston over at Raptors Republic looked at this from a <a href="http://raptorsrepublic.com/2011/03/27/statophile-volume-17-the-regend-and-the-ninja-edition/">few perspectives</a>. Based just on wins and losses the Raptors are better with Reggie Evans, which the Wins Produced metric wholeheartedly agrees with. Tom also looked over what stats changed with Reggie Evans in the lineup vs. him out:<br />
<br />
<div style="background-color: transparent;"><i>The Raptors: shoot a bit worse, have less assists and blocks while significantly outrebounding their opponents and holding them to a lower FG% with Evans in the lineup. However, it’s a bit of a mystery on why the team gets to the line 23% more when Evans is active.</i></div><div style="background-color: transparent;"><i><br />
</i></div>The Wins Produced metric uses the box score statistics as they relate to winning. Tom hits two things right on the head: getting more possessions, getting more easy shots (shooting free throws can be the best way to score), and getting your opponent to shoot worse are all great ways to win. Reggie Evans definitely helps on the possession front and thus helps his team out. <br />
<br />
Tom also brought up Adjusted +/-. Let me make this clear: this is not a good metric. Quoting Adjusted +/- to me goes over about as well as reading Tarot cards or the player’s horoscope to explain their performance. The basic idea behind Adjusted +/- is that you look at the player on and off the court (which it does), account for the impact of teammates (which it really doesn’t), and thus explain the player’s value (ditto). Luckily Tom even points out a good reason behind this (how about that Reggie starts and plays next to a black hole of a center?) So all in all I liked Tom’s analysis and thought I’d add to it with the Wins Produced metric. How have the Raptors done with and without Reggie Evans this season (by game)?<br />
<br />
<div style="background-color: transparent;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: 12pt; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline; white-space: pre-wrap;"></span><img height="504px;" src="https://lh5.googleusercontent.com/dgMTsiha8QLkzyZZS1FQXA3ZWmuCI5IVQJv6qKH2kxdAesRYKs1MH0zUa_7VbK65r7VnWaBjy-qcKDfLfRHr2cCxnb_NZz8-2MI1yLClubHJSm2LQwI" width="456px;" /></div><div style="background-color: transparent;"><br />
</div><div style="background-color: transparent;">The cool news is that most of the players played better with Reggie than without. Here’s how it breaks down:<br />
<ul><li>Jose Calderon and Andrea Bargnani played better without Reggie, but the improvement was marginal. </li>
<li>Bayless and Kleiza improved without Reggie, although they switched positions (which in their cases boosted their WP48). </li>
<li>Davis and Dorsey are two young Power Forwards who improved without Evans. They also got more minutes with him out. Coincidentally, according to Devin, these are the two players who should not be put on the court at that same time as Evans.</li>
</ul><div><br />
</div>Reggie Evans helps the Raptors out by doing one thing well. He’s also old, injury prone and has an expiring contract. Without him, the Raptors have several talented Power Forwards just waiting for minutes in Amir Johnson, Ed Davis and Joey Dorsey. The Raptors would do well to retain these players and let Reggie Evans - and more importantly, Andrea Bargnani - leave.<br />
<br />
-Dre<br />
<br />
P.S.: Tom pointed out that Devin was very pessimistic about the trade for James Johnson. Johnson is young though and improved on the Raptors. A funny note (which I do not even pretend to be causal) is that Johnson played well above average with Reggie Evans and below average without him. As he’s played less than 500 minutes for Toronto this season I wouldn’t celebrate just yet, but I would play him at SF for now instead of DeRozan and Weems. </div></div>DDignamhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06508911795176535945noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1196014153540046218.post-65271914752338195242011-03-28T22:49:00.001-07:002011-03-29T11:47:55.961-07:00The Regend and the Ninja: A Response (part I)New readers, please check out <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/p/basics.html">the basics</a> before leaving any comments.<br />
<br />
<br />
Yesterday, Tom Liston of <a href="http://raptorsrepublic.com/">Raptors Republic</a> - TrueHoop's Raptors' affiliate - <a href="http://raptorsrepublic.com/2011/03/27/statophile-volume-17-the-regend-and-the-ninja-edition/">wrote a column about Reggie Evans and James Johnson</a>. In his column, Tom mentions that he has some problems with Wins Produced and my analysis of Evans and Johnson in the past. Specifically, Tom's main issues seem to be:<br />
<ul><li>Evans' WP48 is near the top of the league (currently at 0.356), but Reggie doesn't seem to belong with the other players (Kevin Love, Dwight Howard, Chris Paul, LeBron James, Dwayne Wade) at the top.</li>
<li>If Wins Produced doesn't overvalue rebounds, and the only thing Evans' does well is rebound, why is Evans' WP48 so high?</li>
<li>James Johnson is playing well in Toronto - "he’s pretty much exactly the same player" as he was during his rookie season. So why <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/2011/02/raptors-trade-another-pf.html">did I say that he probably wouldn't be a good player</a> when Toronto traded for him?</li>
<li>Wins Produced is one measure of player productivity among several, and one should "never rely on one metric to draw conclusions".</li>
</ul><br />
Let's start with Reggie.<br />
<br />
<a name='more'></a><br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;">Why is Reggie Evans so productive?</span><br />
<br />
Some people seem to have this problem whenever I mention, use, or reference Win Produced; their eyes glaze over, they start frothing at the mouth, and they begin to speak some kind of incomprehensible language. Sure, that also happens when I'm <i>not </i>talking about Wins Produced, but still. Anyways, here's an experiment: of the seasons in the following table, which one looks the best to you? I will tell you that they are seasons from Reggie Evans' career, but not which ones specifically.<br />
<br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEht7-3PYM6iSxOEAwSMF-yIirZJxfyxoz_G5pBm_Ui8doMxHRdT0fyQ0O6LEhDinDwY0xPaer17SKSxGV8J981EnhgiwVbb8mnmiq-4czQnstU-_HKtWhnljBdl_CV_zfNLQi3btCSqu8BJ/s1600/reggie_seasons.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="257" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEht7-3PYM6iSxOEAwSMF-yIirZJxfyxoz_G5pBm_Ui8doMxHRdT0fyQ0O6LEhDinDwY0xPaer17SKSxGV8J981EnhgiwVbb8mnmiq-4czQnstU-_HKtWhnljBdl_CV_zfNLQi3btCSqu8BJ/s400/reggie_seasons.png" width="400" /></a></div><br />
As you can see, all four seasons, A through D, are compared against the numbers from an average power forward. Which looks best? Clearly season A has the worst shooting (although the FT% is <i>relatively </i>good, which isn't saying much), but it also has the best rebounding, fouls, assists, and turnovers. Season B has the best adjusted field goal percentage, but unfortunately the poor free throw shooting ruins the overall shooting, as evidenced by the true shooting percentage. Notice that season B is also worse than season A in almost every non-shooting way. Season C has the best shooting, which is best measured by true shooting percentage. The free throw attempts, field goal attempts, and points are about halfway in between seasons A and B, but season C is worse than season B in every non-shooting area. Season D looks very similar to season C, but is better in almost every area.<br />
<br />
So which do you choose? <i><b>Which do you chooooooose?</b></i><br />
<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgi1pksKD-aH1cvHYnsQBhBeD7gj1MgF10Rj4k4XIx7AhXKSKagb4aoO-OcV7U581pGJ1ZNcOxBUrMLxPtCFnozUo7Ptt6L83oxKzEuJFl0-CfNLc3R7AITSojFt8uBJ-FO63iJrYdK9R9n/s1600/pikachu.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgi1pksKD-aH1cvHYnsQBhBeD7gj1MgF10Rj4k4XIx7AhXKSKagb4aoO-OcV7U581pGJ1ZNcOxBUrMLxPtCFnozUo7Ptt6L83oxKzEuJFl0-CfNLc3R7AITSojFt8uBJ-FO63iJrYdK9R9n/s320/pikachu.jpg" width="183" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">There's a new Pokémon game out, after all (available in fine stores everywhere)</td></tr>
</tbody></table>Despite the terrible shooting, I'd pick season A. Why? Clearly the shooting and scoring are terrible, but - <b><u>and this is crucial</u></b> - look at the FGA. They're incredibly low, aren't they? So even though the shooting is terrible, <i>there isn't much terrible happening</i>. All of these seasons are below average with respect to shooting, but season A minimizes the terrible by taking fewer shots! It's perfect: if you <i>can't </i>shoot, <i>don't</i>! And that's what Reggie did that season. The rest of the numbers from season A are impressive: tons of rebounds, good steals, below-average number of turnovers, and it has the most assists and least fouls of any of the seasons listed. The only problem is with blocks, and it's not really all that much different from any of the other seasons (although it's quite a bit below average). So season A is an excellent season, and the one I'd choose over all the others.<br />
<br />
You will not be surprised to find out that seasons A-D are, respectively, the 2010-11 season, the 2009-10 season, the 2008-09 season, and Evans' career stats. Evans is playing a lot better this season than he has in the recent past, although he is no stranger to seasons of WP48s of 0.250 and higher (0.283 in 06-07, for instance).<br />
<br />
I think that's straightforward enough - Evans is having a good year - his best - because he's doing one thing really well and minimizing the impact of the things he does poorly. But why is his WP48 up near the likes of Love, Howard, Paul, LeBron, and Wade?<br />
<br />
Let's get this out of the way first: Reggie Evans is rebounding at a rate that only one player over the last 34 seasons <a href="http://bkref.com/tiny/ZJiat">has been able to match</a> (I'll ruin the surprise for you: it's Dennis Rodman). Evans is really, really good at rebounding this season (and please remember: he played with Bargnani last year, too, and I don't want to get into another rehash of the endless "WP overvalues rebounds" argument, <a href="http://dberri.wordpress.com/frequently-asked-questions-and-comments/">because</a> <a href="http://arturogalletti.wordpress.com/2010/11/23/the-rebounding-myth/">it's been</a> <a href="http://arturogalletti.wordpress.com/2010/07/20/predictive-stats-bad-metrics-correlation-in-the-nba/">stomped</a> <a href="http://arturogalletti.wordpress.com/2010/11/24/re-examining-myths-and-explaining-how-regression-works/">to death</a>). He's doing pretty well with regards to steals and turnovers, but the rebounding is what carries him. Those other players - Love, Howard, Paul, LeBron, and Wade - aren't one-trick ponies; they do a lot of things well. In fact, <a href="http://bkref.com/tiny/zgNMV">Kevin Love is pretty much a Reggie Evans who can shoot</a>. So that's the main difference between Evans and the rest - Evans can do one thing amazingly well, and the others are more all-round players.<br />
<br />
That doesn't fully answer the question though. Why does a one-trick pony - albeit a historically good one-trick pony - approach the WP48 of the best players in the game? It has to do with how Wins Produced is calculated. Wins Produced is based on the statistical correlation between box score stats and team point differentials. Rebounds, it turns out, are very important for success in the NBA (go figure). So we shouldn't be surprised that a player who rebounds at a historically good rate and who doesn't have many negative statistical areas in his stats is thought to be playing exceptionally well.<br />
<br />
But make no mistake: good production does not necessarily mean "good player". Personifying Wins Produced, WP looks at Reggie's stats and says "here is a productive player." <a href="http://dberri.wordpress.com/2006/10/03/what-wins-produced-says-and-what-it-does-not-say/">It does not say <i>why </i>this player productive</a>, nor does it say that this player is "better" than all the players with lower WP48s; it simply says "here is a more productive player." It does not tell us who would win a game of one-on-one, nor does it tell us who would win a game of horse, 21, bump, a three-point shooting contest, or a beauty pageant. It simply says that Reggie has been very productive this season, almost as productive as some of the best all-round players in the league. With that established, we can then perform more in-depth analysis, like we did above:<br />
<ul><li>Why is he productive? (rebounding)</li>
<li>Would I want him on my team? (to get rebounds, yes)</li>
<li>Should Reggie take more shots to increase his scoring average? (no; while his scoring average will increase with more shots, he is so bad at shooting that he will increase the negative aspects of his game and thus hurt his own production, as well as his team's)</li>
<li>Down by two with three seconds left, should he be taking a turn-around, fade-away three pointer if he's double-teamed and there are other teammates open behind the three point line? (in the name of all that is good in the world, <b><u>NO!</u></b>)</li>
</ul><div><br />
</div><div>So ends part one. In part two, I will discuss L'affaire Johnson and examine whether or not Wins Produced is just one metric among many that we should consider before we evaluate NBA players (hint: I'm still a writer for the Wages of Wins Network).</div><div><br />
</div><div> - Devin</div>DDignamhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06508911795176535945noreply@blogger.com11tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1196014153540046218.post-80889759200136297172011-03-24T02:40:00.001-07:002011-03-24T03:27:15.487-07:00No, no, no: DeMar DeRozan is not the MIPNew readers, please check out <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/p/basics.html">the basics</a> before leaving any comments.<br />
<br />
<br />
During the Raptors’ blowout loss at the hands of the Nuggets, I listened in disbelief as the commentators - Matt Devlin and Jack Armstrong - made the case that DeMar DeRozan should be in the running for the Most Improved Player (MIP) award. Now, I’ve already <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/2011/01/week-11-auto-wp-numbers.html">written about this in the past</a>, but the fact that this idea is still out there means that I need to keep addressing this topic.<br />
<br />
<br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;">The argument for DeRozan as the MIP</span><br />
<br />
During the game, the stat used to back up this argument was...drumroll...PPG increase from last season. Here were the names that they included on the graphic that popped up onto the screen:<br />
<a name='more'></a><ul><li>Nick Young, +9.1</li>
<li>DeMar DeRozan, +8.0</li>
<li>Kevin Love, +6.3</li>
<li>LaMarcus Aldridge, +4.3</li>
<li>Kris Humphries, +1.7</li>
</ul><br />
Way to go guys! While some of the players on that list have clearly improved (Humphries, Love, and Aldridge - although all three had previously been average to above-average players in the past), we’ve already run into this argument before with <a href="http://dberri.wordpress.com/2010/04/22/aaron-brooks-is-not-the-mip-in-2009-10/">Aaron Brooks</a>: an increase in PPG means relatively little. PPG in itself is useless; consider the formula: total points scored/games played. To raise your PPG average, you can:<br />
<ul><li>score a lot of points</li>
<li>play fewer games</li>
<li>play more minutes/game</li>
<li>some combination of the above</li>
</ul><br />
First of all, the <a href="http://dberri.wordpress.com/2010/05/19/wins-produced-for-the-playoffs-and-the-yay-points-thesis/">Yay! Points! theory</a> states that scoring points - without regard to efficiency - is overrated in basketball. Second of all, the obvious flaw with PPG is that players who don’t play many minutes each game will have smaller PPG averages. If a player greatly increases their minutes per game from one season to the next, that player can stand to increase his PPG substantially <i>without even improving their scoring on a per minute basis</i>. Doesn’t it seem a little odd that a player can be in contention for the Most Improved Player without actually <i>improving</i>? And remember: with PPG, we're only looking at points - nothing about rebounds, assists, blocks, steals, turnovers, and fouls. Suffice it to say, I find this kind of analysis incredibly lacking.<br />
<br />
<br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;">The real story</span><br />
<br />
With that in mind, let’s examine some more useful stats for the five players above. We'll start with Nick Young, who - according to Matt Devlin, Jack Armstrong, and whoever is responsible for coming up with lists on Raptors' broadcasts - should be considered near the top of the list of MIP candidates:<br />
<br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhMXD0qYzOS77NKs2PmmB8zPOs6RfZibN6IVkbh0impOJn2MjUpLr97q_FApd_JKgZOaboen9B6BtzjG5G_tboxagsHN33wKuj-Nf9-DYMo-Lmg1HLMnZZt8iXAMNe3hUO0Cy84OOWnNkP6/s1600/mip_nick_young.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="254" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhMXD0qYzOS77NKs2PmmB8zPOs6RfZibN6IVkbh0impOJn2MjUpLr97q_FApd_JKgZOaboen9B6BtzjG5G_tboxagsHN33wKuj-Nf9-DYMo-Lmg1HLMnZZt8iXAMNe3hUO0Cy84OOWnNkP6/s320/mip_nick_young.png" width="320" /></a></div><br />
Really? Nick Young?!? Well, he certainly has improved...the only problem is that he is still quite terrible. Last year his WP48 was a very negative -0.077; this year, his WP48 so far has been a much more moderately negative -0.011. He <i>has </i>increased his all aspects of his scoring - shots attempts, efficiency from the field, free throw attempts, and free throw accuracy - but not by enough to offset the holes is his game (although those too have improved across the board). So, upon further review, I suppose you <i>could </i>consider Nick Young for MIP; however, I have a bit of a problem recognizing someone who is still costing his team wins.<br />
<br />
Moving on, let's look at the second player on the dubious list - DeMar DeRozan:<br />
<br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjBO_DoYu4wSdF8WkPA0zwAZ8e6h-taoyG7jUopRgaBOlq_-js890Nd8XEEgVeR1WlzDy_rUIjCJJo0ziUsRT8B8PYULpytkarxn13TvZ10lq9CSZbm3sx5gpIn_IPP2J5QLHocADr-i4V5/s1600/mip_DeRozan.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="255" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjBO_DoYu4wSdF8WkPA0zwAZ8e6h-taoyG7jUopRgaBOlq_-js890Nd8XEEgVeR1WlzDy_rUIjCJJo0ziUsRT8B8PYULpytkarxn13TvZ10lq9CSZbm3sx5gpIn_IPP2J5QLHocADr-i4V5/s320/mip_DeRozan.png" width="320" /></a></div><br />
Oh dear - DeRozan may have increased his PPG average, but not only is he <i>not </i>playing better than last season, he's actually playing worse! His WP48 last year was barely positive at 0.013, and this year his WP48 is barely negative, at -0.012. DeRozan's shooting accuracy from the field has decreased by a decent amount, and this decrease in efficiency is compounded by an increased shooting tendency. The one area of his shooting that has improved this year is his free throw shooting; there he has increased both his percentages and his attempts. Unfortunately, his free throw shooting isn't enough to make up from his bad shooting from the floor. He's also rebounding less, and - with the increase in touches - has seen his turnovers increase. While his assists are up from last year, <a href="http://www.basketball-reference.com/blog/?p=8827">they are still quite low</a>. But at least he's fouling a lot less than he was last year. DeRozan for MIP? Most certainly not.<br />
<br />
Now let's take a look at a real MIP candidate - the man I picked to win both the media MIP and the Wins Produced MIP <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/2010/10/2010-2011-season-predictions.html">before the start of the season</a> - Kevin Love:<br />
<br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgImNMdnBo9MW1SYsBciDPbwacKT53mGGnahqXVG6HAYq0_PtHiqA69kWaLYmsf4bqgw35qbahyHAhq9grlZAjNaa-hKOiMf9gpYQCKQy4WbofIvvLYj8wpF62eqFPI0WdWHuuSBw0OE3J2/s1600/mip_Love.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="255" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgImNMdnBo9MW1SYsBciDPbwacKT53mGGnahqXVG6HAYq0_PtHiqA69kWaLYmsf4bqgw35qbahyHAhq9grlZAjNaa-hKOiMf9gpYQCKQy4WbofIvvLYj8wpF62eqFPI0WdWHuuSBw0OE3J2/s320/mip_Love.png" width="320" /></a></div><br />
If you <a href="http://arturogalletti.wordpress.com/2011/03/23/late-night/">haven't been paying attention lately</a>, Kevin Love has been destroying the league, despite having <a href="http://arturogalletti.wordpress.com/2011/03/14/1-in-10-million/">some of the worst teammates of the past 30 years</a>. Last year, his one relative weakness was his shooting efficiency; this year he's shooting the lights out. His steals - and especially blocks, given that he spends a lot of time at centre - are low, but he's been performing so well everywhere else that it doesn't matter. In fact, other than the steals and blocks, he's improved across the board! For going from amazing to legendary, there is no doubt in my mind that Kevin Love is this year's MIP.<br />
<br />
Sorry for being anti-climactic, but we still have two more MIP candidates to go. Next up - LaMarcus Aldridge:<br />
<br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi2aniGqq90E3N5VbLPQ-plqL1bdUlBBVzZwgIU34DS_J9lRlgjlpr14kN6mCAFA6aJpFqs4_KaCc6Rz2j6xZMW9fC7_120d8YebAmzGtpuiJEqKmfnb1_-ZJLIfUOamckYzFRydQlbobzO/s1600/mip_Aldridge.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="296" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi2aniGqq90E3N5VbLPQ-plqL1bdUlBBVzZwgIU34DS_J9lRlgjlpr14kN6mCAFA6aJpFqs4_KaCc6Rz2j6xZMW9fC7_120d8YebAmzGtpuiJEqKmfnb1_-ZJLIfUOamckYzFRydQlbobzO/s320/mip_Aldridge.png" width="320" /></a></div><br />
For a while this season - right before the all-star break - Aldridge was killing it, and he was getting a lot of fan support in his bid to be recognized as an all-star reserve. But was it warranted? Well, Aldridge has improved, but not by much. While he's upped his FGA significantly, his shooting efficiency has only increased by a bit. His free throw percentage and FTA are up by a decent amount. The slight increases he's seen in his rebounding and steals have been wiped out by an increase in his turnovers. His blocks have shot up and his fouls are also down. The big problem is that this season, with all the injuries the Blazers have suffered at centre (<a href="http://arturogalletti.wordpress.com/">Arturo</a> blames Eduardo the Knee Fairy), Aldridge has been forced into spending more time at the five. On average, centres are more productive, which means that Aldridge sees his relative productivity decline a bit. Even still, we can see that Aldridge has improved - perhaps even enough to be <i>considered </i>for the MIP - but certainly nowhere near the level of improvement we've seen from Love.<br />
<br />
In addition to being a former Raptor, this next candidate is the starting power forward on my Win Score Association fantasy league team (although I'm afraid his fantasy season will be over after this week, as it seems like I'm going to barely miss the playoffs), starting ahead of his more-celebrated former teammate Dirk Nowitzki. It's the Hump - Kris Humphries:<br />
<br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhfi6OkZQI_3zHzBq6Fjsnibj9i9e2tI6V38jahc6gA37CBwyHOw5di8Zx2NMY2zd73H4sDAYWfbWFnUmrxPn7K0vuWqfyDC7UpWh0qBhTU-i0Lldf-vjtzX0ZIT07hLezxQ003oRGbpGFY/s1600/mip_humphries.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="296" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhfi6OkZQI_3zHzBq6Fjsnibj9i9e2tI6V38jahc6gA37CBwyHOw5di8Zx2NMY2zd73H4sDAYWfbWFnUmrxPn7K0vuWqfyDC7UpWh0qBhTU-i0Lldf-vjtzX0ZIT07hLezxQ003oRGbpGFY/s320/mip_humphries.png" width="320" /></a></div><br />
Kris Humphries has always been an above-average player, but he's never had a season close to this one. While he doesn't get many shots off, he's actually shooting more efficiently than Kevin Love! He's really declined with respect to free throw accuracy, free throw attempts, and steals, but the increase in shooting efficiency, rebounding, and decline in turnovers and fouls have turned him into a very productive player. Because Humphries plays in New Jersey next to Brook Lopez, almost (if not) all of his time has been spent at power forward, but I've included the average centre numbers as a comparison. Humphries is playing at a superstar level, and is certainly worthy of being compared to Love.<br />
<br />
If you work out the change in WP48, Humphries (+0.204) has actually improved more than Love (+0.150). However, Humphries has "only" increased his total wins by 9.8, whereas Love has increased his wins by 13.6. I can see the merits of choosing either of these players, but of the two, I have to side with Love, because he's made the incredibly difficult jump from "superstar" to "legendary".<br />
<br />
Of course, that's assuming there are no other worthy candidates for MIP. Does anyone have any other nominations they'd like to leave in the comments?<br />
<br />
- DevinDDignamhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06508911795176535945noreply@blogger.com4tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1196014153540046218.post-92120608763985763622011-03-22T19:38:00.000-07:002011-03-22T19:38:39.098-07:00Nuggets, Knicks, and the 'Melo Effect'New readers, please check out <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/p/basics.html">the basics</a> before leaving any comments.<br />
<br />
<br />
While the Raptors haven't been very interesting lately - although they did pull off a nice upset of the Thunder before getting absolutely walloped by the Nuggets last night - I've been looking into other things. One of these things, incidentally, was the improvement in the play of the Nuggets since they traded away Carmelo Anthony. And if you don't believe that the Nuggets have improved, here are some stats for you, because here at the Wages of Wins Network, we're all about stats:<br />
<br />
<a name='more'></a><ul><li>record before the trade: 32-25</li>
<li>record after the trade: 10-4</li>
<li>points for/game before the trade: 107.6</li>
<li>points for/game after the trade: 107.0</li>
<li>point against/game before the trade: 105.2</li>
<li>point against/game after the trade: 94.7</li>
<li>point differential before the trade: +2.4</li>
<li>point differential after the trade: +12.3</li>
</ul><div><br />
As you can see, the Nuggets are quite a bit better. The aforementioned walloping of the Raptors by 33 points even took place without Arron Afflalo and Raymond Felton playing!</div><div><br />
</div><div>So the question is this: why are the Nuggets playing so much better since the trade? Isn't Carmelo Anthony a superstar? Shouldn't the Nuggets be playing worse without him?</div><div><br />
</div><div>Well, we already know that <a href="http://dberri.wordpress.com/2011/02/09/what-if-melo-got-to-switch-places-with-lebron/">Carmelo Anthony isn't a superstar</a>, despite popular opinion, so we don't need to look into that question again. But what's going on with the rest of the team? I'll admit it: because I'm somewhat obsessed, I look at every single NBA box score. I've been noticing a change in the shot distribution of the Nuggets. With Anthony, the team always had at least one player who took upwards of 20+ field goal attempts per game. With Anthony gone, the team has not yet had anyone hit 20 FGA in game.</div><div><br />
</div><div>I know this for a fact because I've looked into it. In fact, I've made some very pretty and informative tables (if I do say so myself) on this very subject. I looked at the shot distribution of the Nuggets both before and after the Melo trade; I added up the total FGAs by all the Nuggets players, so it's easy to see who takes the most shots. I've also counted the number of games a players' FGA falls within six different ranges: 0-4 FGA, 5-9 FGA, 10-14 FGA, 15-19 FGA, 20-24 FGA, and 25+ FGA.</div><div><br />
</div><div>Here's the first pretty table, which shows the Nuggets' shot distribution before Carmelo Anthony had been traded:</div><br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiFXzhpQN2-vatWR1e1zQzgTMxKGAirUmY0b18VAZOcyfmskj1dgJVhnKZUR97hlY3x2UFwC264cq9viOvKAAP50mnNVbiKMbMPkSuGQRZ5JS5SB0GMpOgWkxuSoDpS5-NhCSn5SvB3WdKV/s1600/denver_w_melo.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="162" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiFXzhpQN2-vatWR1e1zQzgTMxKGAirUmY0b18VAZOcyfmskj1dgJVhnKZUR97hlY3x2UFwC264cq9viOvKAAP50mnNVbiKMbMPkSuGQRZ5JS5SB0GMpOgWkxuSoDpS5-NhCSn5SvB3WdKV/s400/denver_w_melo.png" width="400" /></a></div><br />
As you can see, there is one player (Anthony) who took/hogged all the shots, and was the only player on the team to have more than 19 FGA in a game (as demonstrated by the less colourful blue bars on the right of the image). Here's the second table, which shows the Nuggets' shot distribution after the Anthony trade:<br />
<br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgt4Ai9Fm_TjYpnrsMKK0_9tR7eqFuv3qcscrJQ_aRO8Fp8Q-XQtdfdsY4uITImUVkZgTCFWgcr0Qof1h-wd5fWXhkBbLrsOICSA_hpFBmGtsI0FXm50fT796kPhS-fhX4yhA6pKKDSux9V/s1600/denver_wo_melo.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="162" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgt4Ai9Fm_TjYpnrsMKK0_9tR7eqFuv3qcscrJQ_aRO8Fp8Q-XQtdfdsY4uITImUVkZgTCFWgcr0Qof1h-wd5fWXhkBbLrsOICSA_hpFBmGtsI0FXm50fT796kPhS-fhX4yhA6pKKDSux9V/s400/denver_wo_melo.png" width="400" /></a></div><br />
Looks quite a bit different, doesn't it? The shot attempts are spread out quite a bit more, as the slope of the blue bars is a lot more gradual. The other thing to notice is that, with Carmelo Anthony gone, there are no longer any games with 20-24 FGA or 25+ FGA.<br />
<br />
But that's just one half of the story. What happened to the Knicks? First of all, let's see how the Knicks have done both before and after the trade:<br />
<ul><li>record before the trade: 28-26</li>
<li>record after the trade: 7-9</li>
<li>points for/game before the trade: 106.2</li>
<li>points for/game after the trade: 105.9</li>
<li>point against/game before the trade: 105.8</li>
<li>point against/game after the trade: 104.6</li>
<li>point differential before the trade: +0.4</li>
<li>point differential after the trade: +1.3</li>
</ul><div><br />
Okay, so the Knicks look like they might be a little bit better - but these numbers aren't adjusted for pace or quality of opposition, so there might not be that much of an improvement. For now, let's just say the Knicks have improved ever so slightly.</div><div><br />
</div><div>What do the shot distribution table look like for the Knicks? Here's the Knicks' table for games played before the Melo trade:</div><div><br />
</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEidbiLmgcNl2AL8jlHjJB2JZ2SnwTeA5q4L8E8NuFHSvULlE-7InODN76ICdTVp1-hheKteMZRkzrrdI9edXO7z2ghdqCZBss5tgw9niiVCOSOBjE6kGC8CVv63gGzGp7qsuDUY3kA6yOOd/s1600/NYK_wo_melo.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="151" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEidbiLmgcNl2AL8jlHjJB2JZ2SnwTeA5q4L8E8NuFHSvULlE-7InODN76ICdTVp1-hheKteMZRkzrrdI9edXO7z2ghdqCZBss5tgw9niiVCOSOBjE6kGC8CVv63gGzGp7qsuDUY3kA6yOOd/s400/NYK_wo_melo.png" width="400" /></a></div><div><br />
</div><div>The shot attempts were clearly being dominated by Amaré Stoudemire, but the team actually had a relatively gradual slope. Amaré was the only player to take 25 or more shots in a game, but Raymond Felton and Wilson Chandler had managed to get in a few games in the 20-24 FGA range. Now let's look at the Knicks' table for games after the Melo trade went down:</div><br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhYPYl7cDF9Kwg3CFq75ZHzIZd28QXv7AeMBkhptmxmfP3GGKPTGLS2AXNRLx3oitGJwPAo9gai2HNfcZQMg0CeFDLs3QZBGMXMoeVYooghYRl2o1dtEcKYKUEH4h6UG6uw8mBJDEpnTqhC/s1600/NYK_w_melo.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="170" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhYPYl7cDF9Kwg3CFq75ZHzIZd28QXv7AeMBkhptmxmfP3GGKPTGLS2AXNRLx3oitGJwPAo9gai2HNfcZQMg0CeFDLs3QZBGMXMoeVYooghYRl2o1dtEcKYKUEH4h6UG6uw8mBJDEpnTqhC/s400/NYK_w_melo.png" width="400" /></a></div><br />
Uh-oh. The Knicks seem to have lost their balance. This table looks a lot like the Nuggets' table from before the trade, except that the shots are being hogged by two players instead of one. At the far right of the table, we can see that Anthony and Stoudemire are having a competition to see who can take the most shots.<br />
<br />
So those are the team tables. Let me raise an important point before we go any further: <b>these tables do not take into consideration the extra value accrued from three point shots, nor do they consider free throw attempts and makes</b>. Because of this we miss some potentially useful information. The reason that it's missing is simply because of the amount of time it would've taken me to put if together.<br />
<br />
But wait, there's <b>more</b>! I've also done individual shot distribution tables for all the players involved! Here's a comparison of the Nuggets' players who have played with and without Anthony this season:<br />
<br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjGc9niagzK7_KymRGEu0JfkxWi_nlQNVdt0iwQ1J_QeFzyoyuxlvST2O7lH_ZsyRH70bBUExS1qMFWaURDXGY-0OAY9gmXvuaDiXaWtq8bQmxRGBe3dtoT0QapRaP-cCUV3JZMSSVrCueU/s1600/denver_comps.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="400" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjGc9niagzK7_KymRGEu0JfkxWi_nlQNVdt0iwQ1J_QeFzyoyuxlvST2O7lH_ZsyRH70bBUExS1qMFWaURDXGY-0OAY9gmXvuaDiXaWtq8bQmxRGBe3dtoT0QapRaP-cCUV3JZMSSVrCueU/s400/denver_comps.png" width="70" /></a></div><br />
And here's a comparison of the Knicks' players who have played with and without Anthony this season:<br />
<br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjb56i5RkE4PRw3O3Sr0C1AcIXkSxQVWdMrmPuSkgAQm_LaSHcuEdlJBEMuaUcqKFQGZGhkGEE9EVbT5W1XgF3Wlkoe7dn4U-ghckEVahX9ldD7HFlQOF9JopWtx8s4NCP8dhsO6lXs8rEY/s1600/NYK_comps.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="400" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjb56i5RkE4PRw3O3Sr0C1AcIXkSxQVWdMrmPuSkgAQm_LaSHcuEdlJBEMuaUcqKFQGZGhkGEE9EVbT5W1XgF3Wlkoe7dn4U-ghckEVahX9ldD7HFlQOF9JopWtx8s4NCP8dhsO6lXs8rEY/s400/NYK_comps.png" width="76" /></a></div><br />
And here's a comparison for the players who were involved in the trade, and have either <i>never </i>played with Anthony this season, or have <i>only </i>played with Anthony this season:<br />
<br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhgisuUOnFIQK7C536e9WXa6yRJnurT9aAKkyYBA1Wf0nwJhDZ9_PF675SXBPuPnE6DmssCyQsjtJDCjAh6afyTJEiQZqkcGuWDBg9JcO-2ZjszrVwtu_1NK7FA35a99_jX-GBmaHA3HVKA/s1600/Melo_comps.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="400" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhgisuUOnFIQK7C536e9WXa6yRJnurT9aAKkyYBA1Wf0nwJhDZ9_PF675SXBPuPnE6DmssCyQsjtJDCjAh6afyTJEiQZqkcGuWDBg9JcO-2ZjszrVwtu_1NK7FA35a99_jX-GBmaHA3HVKA/s400/Melo_comps.png" width="62" /></a></div><br />
For the most part, the shooting tendencies of all players involved haven't changed much at all. In some cases - such as with Shawne Williams in New York - the trade has influenced the number of minutes a player is playing, which does affect FGA, but apparently not very much.<br />
<br />
<br />
In the next couple of days I will - finally - write about the Raptors again, I promise. And just a reminder, there is still a<a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/2011/03/raptor-trivia-pounded-or-pound-for.html"> trivia question</a> that needs some answers!<br />
<br />
- DevinDDignamhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06508911795176535945noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1196014153540046218.post-91545027202082092902011-03-17T18:25:00.005-07:002011-03-17T19:11:41.749-07:00Raptor Trivia: Pounded (or Pound for Pound: The Sequel)New readers, please check out <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/p/basics.html">the basics</a> before leaving any comments.<br />
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<br />
<a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/2011/03/raptor-trivia-pound-for-pound.html">Last time</a> my trivia question was about the best 'pound for pound' players in Raptors history. This week, I figured we should take a stab at the players with the worst 'pound for pound' seasons in Raptors history.<br />
<br />
<a name='more'></a>So, to recap, the method for determining 'pound for pound' is this:<br />
<ul><li>take the total wins produced during the regular season (hint: think about what influences WP totals)</li>
<li>divide it by the player's weight in pounds</li>
</ul><div>In this case we are looking for the smallest possible numbers, which turn out to be the largest negative numbers. Since we did seven players last time, we'll stick with that number here.</div><div><br />
</div>So, pound for pound, which players have had the <i><b>least </b></i>productive seasons in Toronto? Only seven players are responsible for the 12 worst seasons in this stat (and one of them is happening this season). Can you name them?<br />
<br />
Warning: this one's a lot harder. No <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mastermind_(board_game)">Mastermind</a> this time; if you guess a player correctly, I'll let you know.<br />
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- DevinDDignamhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06508911795176535945noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1196014153540046218.post-43224551942584425112011-03-15T17:15:00.003-07:002011-03-17T19:12:11.758-07:00Jay Triano: Raps "seventh or eighth best shooting team in the NBA"New readers, please check out <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/p/basics.html">the basics</a> before leaving any comments.<br />
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<br />
According to <a href="http://thestar.blogs.com/raptors/2011/03/were-kind-of-all-over-the-map-today-but-thats-not-a-bad-thing.html">Doug Smith of the Toronto Star</a>, Jay Triano offered the following evaluation of the Raptors' shooting performance this season:<br />
<blockquote>“Listen, we’re the seventh or eighth best shooting team in the NBA without being able to make a three-point shot. We have one game where we don’t really get it going from a variety of guys so let’s just (bleeping) relax a little bit.”</blockquote>Really? Seventh or eighth? Other than that comment about not being able to make threes, I don't believe you have a handle on the stats, Mr. Triano. Thanks to <a href="http://www.dougstats.com/">dougstats</a>, I have the shooting percentages of every team in the league for games played up to 03/12/11. Here's the table:<br />
<br />
<a name='more'></a><br />
<iframe frameborder="0" height="430" src="https://spreadsheets4.google.com/pub?hl=en&hl=en&key=0Ah54B3U6f_nndHVJc0t0WExBTkhza0xUSE1LSVRtbkE&single=true&gid=19&output=html&widget=true" width="500"></iframe><br />
<br />
I still have weird double-scrolling problems going on. Does anybody know how to fix that with this chart gagdet? If you do, let me know in the comments.<br />
<br />
Anyways, let's take a look. The Raptors <i>do </i>turn out to be 9th in FG%...but FG% is pretty much a useless number. Why? Several things:<br />
<ul><li>it doesn't take into account the extra point awarded to three point shots</li>
<li>it doesn't take into account the number of three point shots taken</li>
<li>it doesn't take into account a team's free throw percentage</li>
<li>it doesn't take into account the number of free throws taken</li>
</ul><div><br />
And how do the Raptors fare when we look at those other things? The Raptors are:</div><div><ul><li>20th in FT%</li>
<li>21st in FTA/48</li>
<li>25th in FTA/FGA (free throw tendency)</li>
<li>30th in 3P%</li>
<li>29th in 3PA/FGA (3pt tendency)</li>
<li>19th in AdjFG% (takes 3pt shots into account)</li>
<li>19th in TS% (takes 3pt shots and free throws into account)</li>
</ul></div><br />
So really - when we look at <i>all </i>types of shooting - the Raptors are actually around 19th in the league. It appears that Jay Triano doesn't quite know what he's talking about - but at least he understands that his team can't shoot threes.<br />
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It could be worse - at least Toronto doesn't shoot as poorly as the <a href="http://courtsideanalyst.wordpress.com/2011/02/28/best-and-worst-scorers-in-the-nba-east/">Milwaukee Bucks</a>.<br />
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- DevinDDignamhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06508911795176535945noreply@blogger.com6tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1196014153540046218.post-80741540714375763592011-03-15T13:38:00.002-07:002011-03-17T19:12:49.632-07:00An important difference between Canada and the USNew readers, please check out <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/p/basics.html">the basics</a> before leaving any comments.<br />
<br />
<br />
<b>Warning: this post may contain political content.</b><br />
<br />
Thanks to original author <a href="http://www.journaltimes.com/sports/bucks/article_efc79902-4ebd-11e0-8c1b-001cc4c002e0.html">Gery Woelfel</a>, via ESPN/TrueHoop, there are at least two <a href="http://espn.go.com/blog/truehoop/post/_/id/26383/the-heart-of-the-nba">articles</a> going around about Kim Hughes's pancreatic cancer, and how - when his employer, the Clippers, wouldn't pay for it - some of the players on his team got together and covered his whole bill:<br />
<blockquote>"I contacted the Clippers about medical coverage and they said the surgery wouldn't be covered," Hughes said. "I said, ‘Are you kidding me?' And they said if they did it for one person, they'd have to do for everybody else."<br />
<br />
When Dunleavy learned the Clippers wouldn't cover the cost of Hughes' surgery, he mentioned it to his players.<br />
<br />
Several of them, including now Milwaukee Bucks forward Corey Maggette, Chris Kaman, Elton Brand and Marko Jaric, were taken aback by the news and decided to offer their assistance.</blockquote><br />
<a name='more'></a>Henry Abbott of TrueHoop lists some of the reactions he had upon learning this news:<br />
<ul><li>"add yet <a href="http://twitter.com/#!/kevinarnovitz/status/47657838306271233">another well-deserved log to the bonfire of owner Donald Sterling's reputation</a><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: x-small;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="border-collapse: collapse;">"</span></span></li>
<li><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: x-small;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="border-collapse: collapse;"></span></span>"think like a financial planner, and use it as a reminder to plan for health care needs"</li>
<li>"But honestly, my main thought is not anything but joy. Nice stinking going, Corey Maggette. Hats off to you Chris Kaman, Elton Brand and Marko Jaric. We talk about these NBA players all the time, but we don't know them very well....Combined with Hughes' evident recovery from the cancer, this story is nothing but happy."</li>
</ul><div><br />
I have a thought of my own: how come <i>anyone </i>- let alone an employed, reasonably well-off individual like Kim Hughes - needs this sort of help to pay their own medical bills? This isn't <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tiddlywinks">tiddlywinks</a>, either; this was an immediately life-threatening condition that was likely to kill Hughes if he hadn't acted sooner. How can the United States claim to offer the best health care in the world if no one can afford it? How can the US even pretend to be a modern country when things like this happen?</div><div><br />
</div><div>As a Canadian, I am required by law to point out the benefits of universal health care (just kidding). But truly, stuff like this reminds me how backwards our southern neighbours are on a lot of issues. Right now, the US can't even agree on a way of providing insurance coverage for those who can't afford it, let alone talk about universal health care coverage for <i>all </i>of its citizens. And did I mention that <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Health_care_compared#Cross-country_comparisons">US health care is also about twice as expensive as Canadian health care</a>?</div><div><br />
</div><div>And that is my main thought when I think about this story. If the US health care system wasn't broken, this event would never have happened and this story wouldn't exist.</div><div><br />
</div><div><br />
</div><div>We now return to regularly scheduled (basketball) programming.</div><div><br />
</div><div> - Devin</div>DDignamhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06508911795176535945noreply@blogger.com3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1196014153540046218.post-49733195653894687372011-03-13T17:19:00.001-07:002011-03-17T18:57:29.074-07:00WOW Network Podcast for 03/13/11New readers, please check out <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/p/basics.html">the basics</a> before leaving any comments.<br />
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<br />
On Friday - along with David Berri of the <a href="http://dberri.wordpress.com/">Wages of Wins Journal</a>, Arturo Galletti of <a href="http://arturogalletti.wordpress.com/">Arturo's Silly Little Stats</a>, and Mosi Platt of the <a href="http://miami-heat-index.blogspot.com/">Miami Heat Index</a> - I participated in a WOW network podcast, which you can listen to <a href="http://nerdnumbers.com/podcasts/STAT_03_11_2011.mp3">here</a>. We talked about "Small Market Teams" and "Super Teams", the NBA draft, and the NFL labour (yes, that word is spelt with a 'u') issue.<br />
<br />
Dave also has a short little <a href="http://dberri.wordpress.com/2011/03/13/weekend-podcast-with-links/">summary</a> of the podcast on his site.<br />
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<a name='more'></a><br />
<br />
It was definitely an interesting conversation to be a part of; even though I don't follow the NFL, a lot of what happens with that league is relevant to the NBA and sports in general.<br />
<br />
I'm still getting used to the different format - talking on the spot is a lot different than creating a written piece and being able to edit your work to make it more coherent. I think Mosi asked me a question along the lines of 'if you were in charge of the Raptors, what would you do?', and after I came up with 'remove the unproductive players' and 'get as many draft picks as you can', I was kind of at a loss and mumbled around at the end of my answer. Given more time to think about an answer, I would say that the keys are:<br />
<ul><li>remove the unproductive players at (almost) all costs</li>
<li>get as many draft picks as you can</li>
<li>retain all your productive free agents</li>
<li>convince other, <i>productive </i>free agents to sign</li>
<li>create a positive and healthy culture, which will boost the franchise's reputation amongst players and coaches</li>
</ul><div>That last one is the trickiest. To do it, you'd need an owner who is okay with spending lots of money on facilities and perks.</div><div><br />
</div><div>You know what? Just go and look at Arturo's "<a href="http://arturogalletti.wordpress.com/2010/09/25/build-me-a-winner-rev-2/">Build me a winner</a>" series. He's already got everything covered. I guess that's why he makes the big bucks.</div><div><br />
</div><div> - Devin</div>DDignamhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06508911795176535945noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1196014153540046218.post-48748651571053779252011-03-10T22:43:00.002-08:002011-03-17T18:59:09.688-07:00Basketball Research: take it to the bankNew readers, please check out <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/p/basics.html">the basics</a> before leaving any comments.<br />
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<br />
I've subscribed to <a href="http://www.sciencedaily.com/">ScienceDaily</a>'s <a href="http://feeds.sciencedaily.com/sciencedaily">daily RSS feed</a> (yes, I'm a big nerd; but everyone knew that already). Every day I skim through the articles to see if there are any interesting new scientific developments; today I noticed an article on <a href="http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2011/03/110310151224.htm">bankshots in basketball</a>.<br />
<br />
I haven't taken an in-depth look at the methodology of the research, but from the summary and the accompanying image, it seems that this article supports conventional basketball wisdom and my own observations - which is that there are some spots on the floor where it is easier to make a basket if you go for a bankshot instead of a direct shot. Of course, if you have been paying any attention to the career of <a href="http://espn.go.com/blog/truehoop/post/_/id/3450/kindly-cast-your-spell-on-us-now-tim-duncan">Timmy "D&D" Duncan</a>, you'd probably know that too.<br />
<br />
But to me this was the more interesting tidbit:<br />
<a name='more'></a><br />
<blockquote>The researchers also found the optimal points where the simulated made baskets were aimed. The results show the optimal aim points make a "V" shape near the top center of the backboard's "square," which is actually a 24-inch by 18-inch rectangle which surrounds the rim....The researchers also discovered that if you imagine a vertical line 3.327 inches behind the backboard and found where it crossed the aim point on the "V" shape on the backboard, you'd find the optimal spot to bank the basketball to score a basket.</blockquote>That's pretty cool - if you somehow managed to rig a visible line 3.327 inches (very precise!) behind the backboard and could draw the "V" shape as determined by this research, it would be a lot easier to aim bank shots. All you'd have to do is line it up and hit the target.<br />
<div><br />
</div><div>What if a team implemented that into their practice baskets? I think it would make it easier for players to learn the correct angles on bankshots. If I was an NBA GM, I would get a hold of these authors. And if I'm the NBA...why not consider adding this stuff to all the baskets in the league? The baskets already have a rectangle to help guide shots - no harm in adding a little 'V' and a line behind the basket, right?</div><div><br />
</div><div> - Devin</div>DDignamhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06508911795176535945noreply@blogger.com3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1196014153540046218.post-78287054065146203852011-03-10T01:55:00.003-08:002011-03-17T19:13:26.366-07:00Raptor Trivia: Pound for PoundNew readers, please check out <a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/p/basics.html">the basics</a> before leaving any comments.<br />
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<br />
<a href="http://thenbehteam.blogspot.com/2011/03/raptor-trivia-triple-double-potential.html">Last week</a> I asked a question about players who were capable of getting triple-doubles. Today I want to ask a question based on a term that is often thrown around in sports: 'pound for pound'.<br />
<br />
Back in the day, we used to hear about how Allen Iverson was, 'pound for pound', the "best scorer in the league" (of course, I beg to differ on that one). Frequently, boxers (the athletes, not the undergarments) are referred to as the best 'pound for pound' fighters. So, given my interest in basketball and the Toronto Raptors, what I want to know is, pound for pound, who are the most productive players in the history of the franchise?<br />
<br />
<a name='more'></a>To calculate this number, all we have to do is take a player's Wins Produced (graciously shared with me by <a href="http://nerdnumbers.com/">Nerd Numbers</a>) and divide that number by said player's weight in pounds. Being Canadian and all, I would totally use kilograms instead of the outdated and illogical imperial units, but, sadly, my data is all in pounds...and besides, the question is about 'pound for pound'! No place for kilograms here.<br />
<br />
(As an aside, I'd also like to point out to non-Canadian readers that, actually, when measuring body weights, Canadians tend to prefer pounds anyways. I blame this illogical stance on yankee influence)<br />
<br />
In this case, I'm going to take seasonal WP numbers instead of all-time numbers. Most players don't stick around Toronto for very long, so this gives us something a bit more interesting.<br />
<br />
So, pound for pound, which players have had the most productive seasons in Toronto? Only seven players are responsible for the top 10 seasons in this stat. Can you name them?<br />
<br />
<b>Update - here are the answers to this week's question (highlight below to reveal):</b><br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: #444444;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #444444;"><b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-weight: normal; line-height: 18px;">Jose Calderon, Donyell </span></b><b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-weight: normal; line-height: 18px;">Marshall, Chris </span></b><b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-weight: normal; line-height: 18px;">Bosh, Doug </span></b><b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-weight: normal; line-height: 18px;">Christie, Tracy </span></b><b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-weight: normal; line-height: 18px;">McGrady, Vince </span></b><b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-weight: normal; line-height: 18px;">Carter, Jamario </span></b><b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-weight: normal; line-height: 18px;">Moon</span></b></span></span><br />
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- DevinDDignamhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06508911795176535945noreply@blogger.com11